What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

ATP9d inactive

Glicko-21.954

#80 overall·RD 72

Elo1.953#75 overall

Recent Form

40% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-22.007#50

Elo1.859#48

Clay

Glicko-21.923#121

Elo1.738#167

Grass

Glicko-21.700#46

Elo1.552#95

Recent Matches

Hubert Hurkacz

French Open - Paris

2026-05-25Clay6-3 6-3 2-6 6-3

Mariano Navone

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-21Clay6-2 6-2

Francisco Comesana

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-20Clay6-4 6-4

Nishesh Basavareddy

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-19Clay6-0 6-3

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Valencia Challenger

2026-05-16Clay4-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Damir Dzumhur

Valencia Challenger

2026-05-14Clay6-2 7-6(4)

Matteo Arnaldi

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-06Clay6-3 3-6 6-3

Casper Ruud

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-25Clay6-0 6-1

Alexander Shevchenko

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-23Clay6-4 6-1

Rafael Jodar

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-13Clay6-1 6-2

Alexander Bublik

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-13I.Hard6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3)

Karen Khachanov

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-12I.Hard7-6(8) 3-6 6-3

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-09I.Hard6-1 6-3

Casper Ruud

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-22Hard6-3 7-5 6-4

Dalibor Svrcina

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-19Hard3-6 6-2 6-7(5) 7-5 6-3

Tomas Machac

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-15Hard6-4 6-4

Francisco Cerundolo

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-14Hard3-6 7-5 6-4

Daniel Altmaier

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-12Hard6-3 6-0

Taylor Fritz

United Cup - Australia

2026-01-05Hard7-6(4) 3-6 7-6(6)

Sebastian Baez

United Cup - Australia

2026-01-02Hard6-4 6-4

Flavio Cobolli

Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-ESP 2-0

2025-11-23I.Hard1-6 7-6(5) 7-5

Alexander Zverev

Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ESP-GER 2-1

2025-11-22I.Hard7-6(2) 7-6(5)

Jiri Lehecka

Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1

2025-11-20I.Hard6-3 6-4

Daniil Medvedev

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-28I.Hard6-1 6-3

Joao Fonseca

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-25I.Hard7-6(4) 7-5

Felix Auger Aliassime

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-24I.Hard6-3 ret.

Ben Shelton

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-23I.Hard6-3 6-4

Remy Bertola

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-20I.Hard6-2 6-4

Novak Djokovic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-07Hard6-3 5-7 6-2

Yoshihito Nishioka

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-05Hard6-4 5-7 6-1

Flavio Cobolli

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-03Hard7-5 6-1

Marton Fucsovics

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-01Hard4-6 7-5 6-1

Matteo Berrettini

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2025-09-24Hard6-4 6-2

Elmer Moller

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-2

2025-09-13Clay2-6 6-1 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

U.S. Open - New York

2025-09-01Hard6-3 6-0 6-1

Zizou Bergs

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-30Hard6-1 6-4 6-4

Gabriel Diallo

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-28Hard7-5 6-3 7-5

Jaime Faria

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-25Hard6-0 6-3 5-7 6-2

Marton Fucsovics

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-21Hard7-5 6-3

Lorenzo Sonego

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-20Hard4-6 6-4 6-1

Mattia Bellucci

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-19Hard6-3 6-1

Francisco Comesana

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-08Hard6-4 6-4

Francisco Cerundolo

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-29Hard7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

Dan Martin

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-28Hard6-3 6-0

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-23Hard6-4 6-2

Marcos Giron

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-22Hard7-5 6-3

Marin Cilic

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-05Grass6-3 3-6 6-2 6-4

Fabian Marozsan

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-03Grass6-2 6-3 7-6(9)

Alexander Bublik

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-01Grass6-4 3-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-2

Gabriel Diallo

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca

2025-06-23Grass7-5 6-3

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