What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Jacob Fearnley

MEN31Hot

Age25

BirthplaceWorcester

Height1.83m

Weight80kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:88%

Fatigue:31/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.963

#82RD 65

Elo1.958

#85

Hard

Glicko-21.934

#137

Elo1.745

#180

Clay

Glicko-21.826

#290

Elo1.699

#279

Grass

Glicko-21.772

#26

Elo1.612

#50

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20262-40-21-1

20256-127-53-4

20241-1—1-2

Recent Matches

Tristan BoyerBloomfield Hills Challenger2026-07-23Hard6-4 6-4

Remy BertolaBloomfield Hills Challenger2026-07-21Hard6-4 6-4

Adam WaltonNewport Challenger2026-07-12Grass5-7 7-6(8) 6-4

Darwin BlanchNewport Challenger2026-07-11Grass6-3 6-3

Alexis GalarneauNewport Challenger2026-07-11Grass6-7(2) 6-3 6-4

Stefan KozlovNewport Challenger2026-07-10Grass3-6 6-3 6-2

Mark LajalNewport Challenger2026-07-09Grass7-5 3-6 6-1

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass6-4 7-6(3) 6-4

Alex MichelsenWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass3-6 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-2

Benjamin BonziNottingham 2 Challenger2026-06-17Grass6-1 7-6(5)

Dane SweenyNottingham 2 Challenger2026-06-16Grass6-7(16) 6-1 6-2

Bu YunchaoketeIlkley Challenger2026-06-14Grass6-3 7-6(1)

Darwin BlanchIlkley Challenger2026-06-13Grass7-6(4) 7-6(6)

Filippo RomanoIlkley Challenger2026-06-13Grass6-3 6-7(4) 6-4

Keegan SmithIlkley Challenger2026-06-11Grass4-6 7-5 6-4

Luca NardiIlkley Challenger2026-06-10Grass4-6 6-0 6-3

Rinky HijikataBirmingham Challenger2026-06-02Grass6-1 7-6(3)

Juan Manuel CerundoloFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay6-2 7-6(0) 7-6(7)

Titouan DroguetBordeaux Challenger2026-05-12Clay6-2 6-7(2) 6-2

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-07Clay7-6(6) 4-6 6-2

Aleksandar KovacevicInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-05Clay2-6 6-2 6-3

Shintaro MochizukiInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-04Clay6-3 6-1

Martin DammMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard6-0 ret.

Arthur CazauxPhoenix Challenger2026-03-11Hard6-2 3-6 6-1

Taylor FritzBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard6-3 6-7(8) 6-1

Damir DzumhurBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-05Hard6-3 6-3

Arthur BouquierSt. Brieuc Challenger2026-02-23I.Hard6-3 6-2

Clement ChidekhLille Challenger2026-02-17I.Hard6-3 2-6 6-2

Nicolai Budkov KjaerDavis Cup, World Group, Q, NOR-GBR 0-42026-02-06I.Hard3-6 6-3 10-7

Kyrian JacquetManama Challenger2026-01-30Hard7-6(4) 1-6 6-3

Lukas PokornyManama Challenger2026-01-29Hard3-6 6-4 6-1

Lukas NeumayerManama Challenger2026-01-27Hard6-3 7-6(4)

Kamil MajchrzakAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard7-6(2) 7-5 3-6 7-6(3)

Quentin HalysAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-13Hard6-3 6-4

Aleksandar VukicAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-12Hard6-4 6-7(7) 6-3

Christopher O'ConnellAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-11Hard7-6(4) 7-6(4)

Dane SweenyBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-03Hard6-1 7-6(4)

Damir DzumhurHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-03I.Hard6-4 6-2

Andrey RublevRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard6-1 6-4

Yannick HanfmannRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-26I.Hard6-4 6-2

Matteo ArnaldiRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-25I.Hard7-5 6-2

Alexander ZverevErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-21I.Hard6-4 1-6 7-6(5)

Hamad MedjedovicErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-19I.Hard7-6(11) 6-3

Dalibor SvrcinaErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-18I.Hard6-4 7-5

Elias YmerBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-16I.Hard6-2 6-2

Tallon GriekspoorBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-13I.Hard6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(5)

Dominic StrickerRoanne Challenger2025-10-08I.Hard6-4 6-4

Luca Van AsscheRoanne Challenger2025-10-07I.Hard3-6 6-2 6-3

Alexander ZverevU.S. Open - New York2025-08-28Hard6-4 6-4 6-4

Roberto Bautista AgutU.S. Open - New York2025-08-26Hard7-5 6-2 5-7 6-4

Simulate a match with FearnleyGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Sharp Market odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →