What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Jiri Lehecka

ATP9d inactive

Glicko-22.102

#17 overall·RD 70

Elo2.122#20 overall

Recent Form

40% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-22.119#13

Elo2.000#12

Clay

Glicko-22.149#17

Elo1.852#53

Grass

Glicko-21.837#12

Elo1.627#32

Recent Matches

Pablo Carreno-Busta

French Open - Paris

2026-05-25Clay6-3 7-6(3) 6-3

Casper Ruud

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-10Clay6-3 6-4

Jan-Lennard Struff

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-08Clay7-6(4) 6-3

Arthur Fils

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-29Clay6-3 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-28Clay6-3 6-3

Alex Michelsen

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-26Clay6-4 6-2

Alejandro Tabilo

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-24Clay3-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Alexander Bublik

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-09Clay6-2 7-5

Alejandro Tabilo

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-08Clay4-6 7-6(4) 6-3

Emilio Nava

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-06Clay7-6(1) 6-7(8) 6-2

Jannik Sinner

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-29Hard6-4 6-4

Arthur Fils

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-27Hard6-2 6-2

Martin Landaluce

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-25Hard7-6(1) 7-5

Taylor Fritz

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-24Hard6-4 6-7(4) 6-2

Ethan Quinn

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-22Hard6-3 7-6(6)

Moise Kouame

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-20Hard6-2 7-5

Sebastian Baez

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-07Hard6-4 6-1

Felix Auger Aliassime

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-26Hard6-3 7-6(2)

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-25Hard7-6(6) 6-4

Luca Nardi

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-24Hard4-6 6-4 6-2

Arthur Fils

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

2026-02-19Hard6-3 6-3

Zizou Bergs

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

2026-02-18Hard6-2 6-1

Jenson Brooksby

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

2026-02-17Hard6-3 6-3

Dragos Nicolae Madaras

Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CZE-SWE 3-1

2026-02-07I.Hard6-3 6-4

Arthur Gea

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-19Hard7-5 7-6(1) 7-5

Sebastian Korda

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2026-01-07Hard6-3 1-2 ret.

Tomas Machac

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2026-01-05Hard6-4 6-7(5) 6-2

Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1

2025-11-20I.Hard6-3 6-4

Valentin Vacherot

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-28I.Hard6-1 6-3

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-22I.Hard6-2 6-2

Felix Auger Aliassime

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-19I.Hard7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-2

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-18I.Hard7-6(3) 7-6(7)

Benjamin Bonzi

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-17I.Hard6-7(8) 6-1 4-1 ret.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-15I.Hard6-3 6-2

Arthur Rinderknech

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-08Hard6-3 7-6(5)

Denis Shapovalov

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-06Hard6-4 6-4

Quentin Halys

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-04Hard6-4 7-5

Taylor Fritz

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, USA-CZE 2-3

2025-09-13Hard6-4 3-6 6-4

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York

2025-09-02Hard6-4 6-2 6-4

Adrian Mannarino

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-31Hard7-6(4) 6-4 2-6 6-2

Raphael Collignon

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-29Hard6-4 6-4 6-4

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-27Hard3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4

Borna Coric

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-24Hard3-6 6-4 7-6(5) 6-1

Ben Shelton

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-14Hard6-4 6-4

Adam Walton

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-12Hard7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Tristan Boyer

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-10Hard4-6 6-1 6-4

Taylor Fritz

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-08-03Hard7-6(4) 6-7(5) 7-6(5)

Arthur Fils

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-08-01Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Mackenzie Mcdonald

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-30Hard7-6(2) 6-4

Alex De Minaur

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-24Hard7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-4

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