What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Francisco Comesana

ATP4d inactive65 Moderate Fatigue

Glicko-21.897

#146 overall·RD 65

Elo1.946#79 overall

Recent Form

60% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-21.888#190

Elo1.738#187

Clay

Glicko-21.917#127

Elo1.798#88

Grass

Glicko-21.438#3203

Elo1.500#239

Recent Matches

Matteo Berrettini

French Open - Paris

2026-05-30Clay7-6(3) 5-7 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(13)

Luciano Darderi

French Open - Paris

2026-05-28Clay7-6(5) 4-6 6-4 2-6 6-4

Ethan Quinn

French Open - Paris

2026-05-26Clay6-4 7-6(8) 7-6(4)

Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-20Clay6-4 6-4

Valentin Royer

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-18Clay2-6 6-3 6-4

Max Hans Rehberg

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-17Clay6-3 6-2

Henry Bernet

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-16Clay6-3 6-1

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Valencia Challenger

2026-05-12Clay6-4 6-3

Jan-Lennard Struff

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-06Clay6-2 6-4

Leandro Riedi

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-05Clay6-4 2-6 6-4

Billy Harris

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-04Clay6-3 6-4

Ignacio Buse

Aix En Provence Challenger

2026-04-29Clay7-6(4) 6-3

Tomas Machac

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-22Clay3-6 7-6(3) 6-3

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Oeiras 3 Challenger

2026-04-14Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Flavio Cobolli

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-06Clay7-5 2-6 6-3

Ethan Quinn

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-05Clay7-5 6-2

Romain Arneodo

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-04Clay6-2 6-1

Alejandro Tabilo

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-19Hard6-4 6-2

Sebastian Korda

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-05Hard7-5 6-0

Andrea Pellegrino

BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago

2026-02-25Clay7-6(3) 6-7(2) 6-3

Pedro Martinez Portero

BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago

2026-02-23Clay6-4 2-6 7-6(4)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-17Clay3-6 6-3 6-4

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

2026-02-10Clay6-4 7-6(3)

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Rosario Challenger

2026-02-05Clay6-4 3-6 6-3

Nicolas Kicker

Rosario Challenger

2026-02-03Clay7-5 6-3

Frances Tiafoe

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard6-4 6-3 4-6 6-2

Patrick Kypson

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-18Hard6-2 6-3 3-6 6-3

Ben Shelton

ASB Classic - Auckland

2026-01-14Hard7-5 6-4

Valentin Royer

ASB Classic - Auckland

2026-01-12Hard6-4 6-4

Juncheng Shang

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong

2026-01-06Hard6-4 6-4

Felix Auger Aliassime

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-28I.Hard6-7(2) 6-3 6-3

David Goffin

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-26I.Hard6-1 ret.

Luca Van Assche

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-25I.Hard7-5 6-1

David Goffin

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-18I.Hard6-2 7-6(4)

Raphael Collignon

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-15I.Hard7-5 3-6 7-6(10)

David Goffin

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-14I.Hard7-6(5) 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-04Hard6-4 6-0

Ugo Blanchet

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-02Hard6-4 6-2

Jesper De Jong

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, NED-ARG 1-3

2025-09-13I.Hard6-4 6-3

Cameron Norrie

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-27Hard7-6(5) 6-3 6-7(0) 7-6(4)

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-25Hard1-6 6-3 6-4 6-4

Mattia Bellucci

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-18Hard6-4 6-3

Andrey Rublev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-13Hard6-2 6-3

Reilly Opelka

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-12Hard6-7(4) 6-4 7-5

Luciano Darderi

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-10Hard6-4 3-1 ret.

Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-08Hard6-4 6-4

Alex De Minaur

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-30Hard6-4 6-2

Damir Dzumhur

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-28Hard6-3 7-5

Arthur Cazaux

Generali Open - Kitzbuhel

2025-07-23Clay6-4 7-6(7)

Tristan Boyer

Generali Open - Kitzbuhel

2025-07-21Clay6-3 7-6(1)

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