What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Mariano Navone

MEN39

Age25

Birthplace—

Height1.78m

Weight73kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:38%

Fatigue:39/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.984

#60RD 66

Elo1.990

#60

Hard

Glicko-21.892

#197

Elo1.622

#593

Clay

Glicko-22.053

#49

Elo1.877

#39

Grass

Glicko-21.250

#3281

Elo1.412

#2978

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20261-517-100-2

20255-1012-111-1

20243-1115-110-3

Recent Matches

Quentin HalysGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-23Clay7-5 6-3

Jan-Lennard StruffGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-22Clay6-0 6-3

Alexandre MullerGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-20Clay6-4 6-0

Stefano TravagliaNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-15Clay6-4 6-2

Flavio CobolliWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass1-6 7-6(5) 6-3 7-6(8)

Lorenzo SonegoMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-21Grass7-6(2) 2-6 6-4

Jakub MensikFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay6-3 2-6 6-4 1-6 7-6(11)

Jenson BrooksbyFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay6-4 6-4 6-4

Learner TienGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-23Clay3-6 6-3 7-5

Casper RuudGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-22Clay7-5 6-2

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-21Clay6-2 6-2

Cameron NorrieGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-20Clay6-4 6-4

Marco TrungellitiGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-17Clay5-7 7-5 6-1

Hamad MedjedovicInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-11Clay4-6 6-3 6-4

Felix Auger AliassimeInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay7-6(4) 7-6(5)

Denis ShapovalovInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-07Clay6-4 6-2

Matteo BerrettiniCagliari Challenger2026-04-30Clay7-5 6-3

Alexander ZverevMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-25Clay6-1 3-6 6-3

Nuno BorgesMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-23Clay6-3 6-4

Andrey RublevBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-14Clay6-4 7-5

Daniel Merida AguilarTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-04-05Clay6-2 4-6 7-5

Botic Van De ZandschulpTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-04-04Clay5-7 7-6(3) 7-5

Alex MolcanTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-04-03Clay3-6 6-2 6-3

Elmer MollerTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-04-01Clay6-2 6-1

Christopher O'ConnellTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-03-31Clay6-4 7-6(8)

Valentin VacherotMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-3 6-4

Nikoloz BasilashviliMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard7-6(7) 6-3

Mattia BellucciCap Cana Challenger2026-03-15Hard7-5 6-4

Alexander BlockxCap Cana Challenger2026-03-14Hard3-6 6-3 7-6(3)

Valentin RoyerCap Cana Challenger2026-03-13Hard6-2 7-6(5)

Shintaro MochizukiCap Cana Challenger2026-03-12Hard6-4 7-5

Nick HardtCap Cana Challenger2026-03-11Hard6-7(3) 6-2 6-2

Marcos GironBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-04Hard4-6 7-5 6-3

Luciano DarderiBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-25Clay6-3 3-6 6-4

Vit KoprivaBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-24Clay3-6 6-0 3-1 ret.

Francisco CerundoloRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-17Clay6-3 6-4

Camilo Ugo CarabelliArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-12Clay6-2 7-5

Emilio NavaArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-11Clay6-2 6-1

Hamad MedjedovicAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-2 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Alex MichelsenASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-13Hard2-6 6-2 7-5

Chak Lam Coleman WongHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-06Hard6-3 7-5

Roman Andres BurruchagaMontevideo Challenger2025-11-14Clay6-4 6-4

Marco CecchinatoMontevideo Challenger2025-11-12Clay3-6 6-0 6-4

Santiago Rodriguez TavernaMontevideo Challenger2025-11-10Clay6-3 6-2

Murkel DellienLima 3 Challenger2025-11-04Clay6-2 7-6(5)

Marco CecchinatoLima 2 Challenger2025-11-02Clay6-4 5-7 6-4

Alvaro Guillen MezaLima 2 Challenger2025-11-01Clay6-4 6-1

Alex BarrenaLima 2 Challenger2025-10-31Clay6-0 6-3

David Jorda SanchisLima 2 Challenger2025-10-29Clay6-4 6-0

Genaro Alberto OlivieriLima 2 Challenger2025-10-28Clay6-3 6-1

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