What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Corentin Moutet

ATP8d inactive

Glicko-21.929

#97 overall·RD 72

Elo1.916#104 overall

Recent Form

0% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-21.981#67

Elo1.858#50

Clay

Glicko-21.874#197

Elo1.744#155

Grass

Glicko-21.743#29

Elo1.580#63

Recent Matches

Vit Kopriva

French Open - Paris

2026-05-26Clay6-3 5-7 6-4 3-6 6-3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-18Clay6-4 6-4

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-09Clay6-4 3-6 7-6(4)

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-25Clay6-3 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-16Clay6-3 6-4

Ignacio Buse

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-13Clay6-4 6-4

Casper Ruud

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-08Clay7-5 6-3

Alexandre Muller

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-07Clay6-4 6-1

Marco Trungelliti

Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech

2026-04-03Clay4-6 6-3 6-4

Taha Baadi

Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech

2026-04-01Clay6-0 6-2

Jannik Sinner

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-23Hard6-1 6-4

Tomas Machac

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-21Hard6-0 1-6 6-4

Marcos Giron

Phoenix Challenger

2026-03-14Hard4-6 6-3 6-4

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Phoenix Challenger

2026-03-13Hard7-6(5) 6-4

Quentin Halys

Phoenix Challenger

2026-03-12Hard6-4 6-4

Aleksandar Kovacevic

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-07Hard6-1 6-4

Alexander Zverev

Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco

2026-02-24Hard6-2 6-4

Tommy Paul

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach

2026-02-17Hard4-6 6-3 6-4

Carlos Alcaraz

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-23Hard6-2 6-4 6-1

Michael Zheng

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard3-6 6-1 6-3 2-0 ret.

Tristan Schoolkate

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-18Hard6-4 7-6(1) 6-3

Raphael Collignon

Davis Cup, World Group, QF, FRA-BEL 0-2

2025-11-18I.Hard2-6 7-5 7-5

Aleksandar Vukic

Moselle Open - Metz

2025-11-04I.Hard3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(8)

Alexander Bublik

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-29I.Hard6-3 7-5

Reilly Opelka

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-28I.Hard3-6 7-5 6-1

Lorenzo Musetti

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-24I.Hard6-3 6-4

Daniil Medvedev

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-23I.Hard7-6(3) 6-4

Damir Dzumhur

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-22I.Hard6-3 6-0

Daniil Medvedev

Almaty Open - Almaty

2025-10-19I.Hard7-5 4-6 6-3

Alex Michelsen

Almaty Open - Almaty

2025-10-18I.Hard7-5 6-4

Jan-Lennard Struff

Almaty Open - Almaty

2025-10-17I.Hard6-4 7-5

Alexander Shevchenko

Almaty Open - Almaty

2025-10-15I.Hard7-5 6-3

Bernard Tomic

Almaty Open - Almaty

2025-10-13I.Hard6-1 7-6(9)

Learner Tien

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-04Hard4-6 6-4 6-4

Alexander Zverev

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-28Hard7-5 3-6 6-3

Tallon Griekspoor

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-26Hard6-4 7-5

Valentin Royer

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

2025-09-22Hard6-3 6-2

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

2025-09-21Hard3-6 3-0 ret.

Arthur Cazaux

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

2025-09-20Hard6-7(1) 6-3 7-6(3)

Marin Cilic

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CRO-FRA 1-3

2025-09-13Clay7-5 6-4

Jordan Thompson

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-24Hard6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3

Alex Michelsen

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-09Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-07Hard7-5 6-3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-30Hard6-4 6-3

Jenson Brooksby

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-29Hard6-2 6-1

Alex De Minaur

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-26Hard6-4 6-3

Daniil Medvedev

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-25Hard1-6 6-4 6-4

Daniel Evans

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-24Hard6-2 7-6(4)

Alexandre Muller

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-22Hard6-0 6-1

Yibing Wu

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-20Hard4-6 6-4 6-4

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