What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Marton Fucsovics

ATP9d inactive

Glicko-21.911

#123 overall·RD 79

Elo1.898#125 overall

Recent Form

0% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-21.955#97

Elo1.821#73

Clay

Glicko-21.707#560

Elo1.657#374

Grass

Glicko-21.742#30

Elo1.648#24

Recent Matches

Matteo Berrettini

French Open - Paris

2026-05-25Clay6-7(2) 7-5 6-1 6-2

Dino Prizmic

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-07Clay6-4 6-3

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-23Clay4-6 7-6(5) 6-2

Alejandro Tabilo

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-05Clay6-4 6-3

Felix Auger Aliassime

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-21Hard7-6(3) 7-5

Christopher O'Connell

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-20Hard7-6(6) 6-3

Arthur Fils

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-08Hard6-3 7-5

Lorenzo Musetti

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-06Hard7-5 6-1

Christopher O'Connell

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-04Hard7-5 6-3

Karen Khachanov

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

2026-02-18Hard6-2 4-6 6-4

Hady Habib

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

2026-02-17Hard6-3 6-3

Guy Den Ouden

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-11I.Hard7-6(5) 6-1

Alexander Bublik

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard7-5 6-4 7-5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-18Hard7-6(5) 6-1 6-2

Alexander Shevchenko

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-14Hard6-3 7-6(6)

Ethan Quinn

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-13Hard6-4 6-4

Daniil Medvedev

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2026-01-05Hard6-2 6-3

Holger Rune

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm

2025-10-16I.Hard6-4 6-4

Jesper De Jong

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm

2025-10-15I.Hard6-1 6-2

Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-01Hard4-6 7-5 6-1

Brandon Nakashima

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2025-09-27Hard7-5 6-3

Frances Tiafoe

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2025-09-24Hard3-6 6-1 7-5

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2025-09-23Hard7-5 6-2

Filip Misolic

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2025-09-22Hard6-3 6-1

Jurij Rodionov

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, HUN-AUT 2-3

2025-09-13I.Hard6-1 6-2

Lukas Neumayer

Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, HUN-AUT 2-3

2025-09-12I.Hard6-3 3-6 7-6(7)

Denis Shapovalov

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-26Hard6-4 6-4 6-0

Botic Van De Zandschulp