What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

ATP10d inactive

Glicko-21.905

#131 overall·RD 72

Elo1.869#155 overall

Recent Form

40% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-21.885#196

Elo1.705#264

Clay

Glicko-21.826#270

Elo1.655#380

Grass

Glicko-21.562#142

Elo1.587#58

Recent Matches

Novak Djokovic

French Open - Paris

2026-05-24Clay5-7 7-5 6-1 6-4

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-18Clay6-4 7-6(8)

Quentin Halys

Bordeaux Challenger

2026-05-15Clay6-3 7-6(3)

Aleksandar Vukic

Bordeaux Challenger

2026-05-14Clay6-0 6-3

Otto Virtanen

Bordeaux Challenger

2026-05-13Clay2-6 7-5 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-08Clay6-4 6-4

Jacob Fearnley

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-07Clay7-6(6) 4-6 6-2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-19Hard2-6 6-3 7-6(3)

Kamil Majchrzak

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-05Hard6-3 1-6 7-5

Felix Auger Aliassime

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-25Hard6-4 6-4

Moez Echargui

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-23Hard7-6(3) 6-7(3) 7-6(4)

Jan Choinski

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-22Hard4-6 6-3 7-6(3)

Shintaro Mochizuki

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai

2026-02-21Hard6-1 7-6(4)

Zizou Bergs

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

2026-02-17Hard6-3 6-7(5) 6-4

Tallon Griekspoor

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-10I.Hard6-4 6-4

Arthur Gea

Open Occitanie - Montpellier

2026-02-02I.Hard6-3 ret.

Sebastian Baez

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-20Hard6-4 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3

Jakub Mensik

ASB Classic - Auckland

2026-01-15Hard6-4 6-2

Cameron Norrie

ASB Classic - Auckland

2026-01-14Hard4-6 6-3 7-6(4)

Roberto Bautista Agut

ASB Classic - Auckland

2026-01-13Hard6-3 7-6(2)

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2026-01-09Hard7-6(3) 4-6 6-3

Rinky Hijikata

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2026-01-08Hard4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)

Tommy Paul

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2026-01-06Hard7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(6)

Vitaliy Sachko

Moselle Open - Metz

2025-11-03I.Hard7-6(10) 6-3

Grigor Dimitrov

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-27I.Hard7-6(5) 6-1

Joao Fonseca

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

2025-10-21I.Hard7-6(6) 6-3

Jiri Lehecka

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-18I.Hard7-6(3) 7-6(7)

Lorenzo Musetti

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-17I.Hard6-4 7-6(8)

Nikoloz Basilashvili

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-16I.Hard7-5 ret.

Emil Ruusuvuori

European Open - Brussels

2025-10-14I.Hard7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-4

Holger Rune

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-07Hard6-4 6-7(7) 6-3

Taylor Fritz

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-05Hard6-4 7-5

Luca Nardi

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-03Hard6-3 7-6(4)

Lorenzo Musetti

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-26Hard7-6(3) 6-7(4) 6-4

Alexander Shevchenko

Chengdu Open - Chengdu

2025-09-20Hard6-7(2) 7-6(5) 6-4

Filip Misolic

Chengdu Open - Chengdu

2025-09-18Hard3-6 6-1 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-26Hard6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 6-4

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-22Hard6-4 7-5

Hamad Medjedovic

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-21Hard7-6(8) 6-2

Alexandre Muller

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-20Hard6-3 6-2

Pedro Martinez Portero

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem

2025-08-19Hard2-6 6-3 7-6(3)

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-07Hard6-3 6-2

Holger Rune

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-29Hard7-6(7) 6-3

Shintaro Mochizuki

National Bank Open - Toronto

2025-07-27Hard6-4 6-2

Aleksandar Vukic

Citi Open - Washington

2025-07-21Hard6-4 3-6 6-3

Taylor Fritz

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-01Grass6-7(6) 6-7(8) 6-4 7-6(6) 6-4

Brandon Nakashima

cinch Championships - London

2025-06-17Grass6-7(10) 7-6(5) 6-4

Felix Auger Aliassime

Boss Open - Stuttgart

2025-06-12Grass6-4 6-4

Roman Safiullin

Boss Open - Stuttgart

2025-06-09Grass7-6(10) 3-6 7-5

Damir Dzumhur

French Open - Paris

2025-05-28Clay7-6(4) 6-3 4-6 6-4

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