What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Rafael Jodar

MENHot

Age19

BirthplaceMadrid

Height1.88m

Weight70kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:75%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:21 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.135

#9RD 65

Elo2.196

Hard

Glicko-22.077

#27

Elo1.917

#25

Clay

Glicko-22.305

Elo1.942

#13

Grass

Glicko-21.581

#132

Elo1.533

#137

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20265-619-42-1

20252-1——

Recent Matches

Shintaro MochizukiWimbledon - London2026-07-03Grass1-6 7-6(5) 6-4 6-4

Pablo Carreno-BustaWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass3-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-4

Felix GillWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-3 6-3 7-5

Alexander ZverevFrench Open - Paris2026-06-02Clay7-6(3) 6-1 6-3

Pablo Carreno-BustaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-31Clay4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2

Alex MichelsenFrench Open - Paris2026-05-29Clay7-6(2) 6-7(5) 4-6 6-3 6-3

James DuckworthFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay6-1 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

Aleksandar KovacevicFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay6-1 6-0 6-4

Luciano DarderiInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-13Clay7-6(5) 5-7 6-0

Learner TienInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-12Clay6-1 6-4

Matteo ArnaldiInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-10Clay6-1 4-6 6-3

Nuno BorgesInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay7-6(4) 6-4

Jannik SinnerMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-29Clay6-2 7-6(0)

Vit KoprivaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-28Clay7-5 6-0

Joao FonsecaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-26Clay7-6(4) 4-6 6-1

Alex De MinaurMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay6-3 6-1

Jesper De JongMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-22Clay2-6 7-5 6-4

Arthur FilsBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-18Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Cameron NorrieBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-17Clay6-3 6-2

Camilo Ugo CarabelliBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-15Clay6-3 6-3

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-13Clay6-1 6-2

Marco TrungellitiGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-04-05Clay6-3 6-2

Camilo Ugo CarabelliGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-04-04Clay6-2 6-1

Alexandre MullerGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-04-03Clay6-2 2-0 ret.

Tomas MachacGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-04-02Clay6-4 4-6 6-3

Dusan LajovicGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-03-31Clay6-3 6-4

Tomas Martin EtcheverryMiami Open - Miami2026-03-22Hard7-5 6-4

Aleksandar VukicMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard6-1 6-2

Yannick HanfmannMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard6-4 4-6 6-1

Benjamin BonziMiami Open - Miami2026-03-17Hard6-4 6-4

Manas Manoj DhamneMiami Open - Miami2026-03-16Hard6-3 7-6(4)

Alejandro TabiloBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-05Hard6-1 6-2

Terence AtmaneAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2026-02-25Hard6-2 4-6 6-1

Cameron NorrieAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2026-02-23Hard6-3 6-2

Taylor FritzDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-19Hard7-6(4) 6-4

Ethan QuinnDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-17Hard6-2 6-3

Denis ShapovalovDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-10I.Hard6-1 6-2

Murphy CassoneDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-08I.Hard7-6(5) 7-6(6)

Mitchell KruegerDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-07I.Hard6-3 6-2

Jakub MensikAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-22Hard6-2 6-4 6-4

Rei SakamotoAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-20Hard7-6(6) 6-1 5-7 4-6 6-3

Luca Van AsscheAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-15Hard6-3 0-6 6-1

Chris RodeschAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-14Hard7-6(10) 6-3

Li TuAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-13Hard6-2 6-1

Alexander BlockxCanberra Challenger2026-01-10Hard6-4 6-4

Kyrian JacquetCanberra Challenger2026-01-09Hard6-3 ret.

Sho ShimabukuroCanberra Challenger2026-01-08Hard6-2 6-4

Jaime FariaCanberra Challenger2026-01-07Hard6-1 6-4

Nicolas JarryCanberra Challenger2026-01-06Hard6-3 6-4

Arthur FeryCanberra Challenger2026-01-05Hard6-3 3-2 ret.

Simulate a match with JodarGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Sharp Market odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →