What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Alexander Bublik

MEN39Hot

Age29

BirthplaceGatchina, Russia

Height1.96m

Weight82kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:39/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.071

#26RD 67

Elo2.104

#25

Hard

Glicko-22.102

#19

Elo1.933

#24

Clay

Glicko-22.016

#65

Elo1.858

#56

Grass

Glicko-21.893

Elo1.741

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202613-68-75-3

202516-1616-55-1

202416-155-64-4

202310-175-89-2

202222-172-69-5

202124-204-67-4

Recent Matches

Alex MolcanGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-23Clay6-3 6-2

Facundo Diaz AcostaGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-22Clay6-3 7-5

Quentin HalysEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-17Clay6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(5)

Taylor FritzWimbledon - London2026-07-06Grass7-6(1) 6-4 6-4

Frances TiafoeWimbledon - London2026-07-04Grass4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(11) 4-6 6-3

Kyrian JacquetWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass6-3 6-4 7-6(5)

Thanasi KokkinakisWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass4-6 6-3 6-7(10) 6-3 6-4

Mattia BellucciTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-16Grass7-6(6) 6-1

Taylor FritzBoss Open - Stuttgart2026-06-13Grass6-4 6-4

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardBoss Open - Stuttgart2026-06-12Grass7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Jan-Lennard StruffBoss Open - Stuttgart2026-06-10Grass7-6(3) 3-6 6-2

Jan-Lennard StruffFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay7-5 6-7(6) 6-4 7-5

Learner TienGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-22Clay6-1 4-6 7-6(5)

Arthur RinderknechGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-21Clay5-7 6-4 6-2

Edas ButvilasGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-20Clay6-4 6-3

Learner TienInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-10Clay4-6 6-3 7-5

Sebastian BaezInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay6-1 6-2

Stefanos TsitsipasMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-25Clay6-2 7-5

Alex MolcanBMW Open - Munich2026-04-14Clay6-4 6-2

Carlos AlcarazMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-10Clay6-3 6-0

Jiri LeheckaMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-09Clay6-2 7-5

Gael MonfilsMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay6-4 6-4

Matteo BerrettiniMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-4 6-4

Rinky HijikataBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-09Hard6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-3

Vit KoprivaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard3-6 7-6(3) 6-2

Tallon GriekspoorDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-25Hard6-3 7-6(4)

Jan-Lennard StruffDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-24Hard6-3 6-4

Felix Auger AliassimeABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-14I.Hard6-1 6-2

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-13I.Hard6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3)

Jan-Lennard StruffABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-12I.Hard7-6(2) 4-6 6-3

Hubert HurkaczABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-11I.Hard6-7(2) 7-6(1) 7-5

Valentin VacherotDavis Cup, Group I, PO, KAZ-MON 1-32026-02-07I.Hard7-6(4) 7-6(7)

Hugo NysDavis Cup, Group I, PO, KAZ-MON 1-32026-02-06I.Hard6-0 6-3

Alex De MinaurAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-25Hard6-4 6-1 6-1

Tomas Martin EtcheverryAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-4

Marton FucsovicsAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard7-5 6-4 7-5

Jenson BrooksbyAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-18Hard6-4 6-4 6-4

Lorenzo MusettiHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-11Hard7-6(2) 6-3

Marcos GironHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-10Hard3-6 6-4 6-2

Juncheng ShangHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-09Hard6-1 7-6(2)

Botic Van De ZandschulpHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-08Hard6-3 6-3

Vitaliy SachkoMoselle Open - Metz2025-11-05I.Hard7-5 3-6 7-5

Felix Auger AliassimeRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-11-01I.Hard7-6(3) 6-4

Alex De MinaurRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-31I.Hard6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

Taylor FritzRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-30I.Hard7-6(5) 6-2

Corentin MoutetRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-29I.Hard6-3 7-5

Alexei PopyrinRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard6-4 6-3

Jannik SinnerErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-24I.Hard6-4 6-4

Francisco CerundoloErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-23I.Hard6-4 6-2

Alejandro TabiloErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-20I.Hard6-4 6-4

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