What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Luciano Darderi

MEN48Rising

Age24

BirthplaceVilla Gesell, Argentina

Height1.83m

Weight82kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:48/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.038

#32RD 66

Elo2.055

#36

Hard

Glicko-21.818

#341

Elo1.693

#313

Clay

Glicko-22.189

#11

Elo1.985

Grass

Glicko-21.472

#3017

Elo1.473

#2838

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20264-422-101-2

20256-1421-82-4

20242-1320-112-3

20230-11-1—

Recent Matches

Pedro Martinez PorteroMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-23Clay6-0 6-1

Andrey RublevNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-19Clay6-4 6-3

Adolfo Daniel VallejoNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-18Clay6-4 6-7(11) 6-3

Nuno BorgesNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-17Clay7-6(9) 6-4

Daniel AltmaierNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-15Clay6-4 6-4

Ethan QuinnWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass7-6(7) 7-5 6-2

Nuno BorgesMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-25Grass7-6(1) 6-4

Yannick HanfmannMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-23Grass7-5 6-3

Francisco ComesanaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-28Clay7-6(5) 4-6 6-4 2-6 6-4

Sebastian OfnerFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay7-6(5) 6-2 6-3

Alex De MinaurHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-21Clay6-0 6-3

Yannick HanfmannHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-20Clay7-6(7) 7-5

Roman Andres BurruchagaHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-19Clay6-3 7-6(4)

Casper RuudInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-15Clay6-1 6-1

Rafael JodarInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-13Clay7-6(5) 5-7 6-0

Alexander ZverevInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-12Clay1-6 7-6(10) 6-0

Tommy PaulInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-10Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Yannick HanfmannInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay6-4 6-4

Francisco CerundoloMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-27Clay6-2 6-3

Juan Manuel CerundoloMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-25Clay6-1 6-3

Vit KoprivaBMW Open - Munich2026-04-15Clay2-6 6-4 6-1

Zhizhen ZhangBMW Open - Munich2026-04-14Clay7-6(5) 3-6 6-1

Hubert HurkaczMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay7-6(4) 5-7 6-1

Marco TrungellitiGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-04-04Clay6-4 7-6(2)

Mattia BellucciGrand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech2026-04-01Clay6-4 6-2

Martin LandaluceMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-3 6-7(4) 6-4

Rinky HijikataBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard4-6 6-2 6-4

Yannick HanfmannBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-03-01Clay7-6(6) 7-5

Sebastian BaezBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-28Clay6-4 6-3

Andrea PellegrinoBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-27Clay6-3 3-6 6-2

Mariano NavoneBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-25Clay6-3 3-6 6-4

Juan Manuel CerundoloRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-17Clay6-1 3-6 6-4

Francisco CerundoloArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-15Clay6-4 6-2

Sebastian BaezArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-14Clay7-6(2) 6-1

Pedro Martinez PorteroArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-13Clay7-5 6-1

Tomas Barrios VeraArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-12Clay6-1 6-3

Jannik SinnerAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-26Hard6-1 6-3 7-6(2)

Karen KhachanovAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-24Hard7-6(5) 3-6 6-3 6-4

Sebastian BaezAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-22Hard6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3

Cristian GarinAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-20Hard7-6(5) 7-5 7-6(3)

Marcos GironASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-15Hard1-6 7-5 6-4

Alejandro TabiloASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-14Hard1-6 7-5 6-3

Miomir KecmanovicHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-05I.Hard4-6 6-2 6-3

Arthur CazauxRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard7-6(5) 7-6(4)

Brandon NakashimaErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-20I.Hard6-2 7-5

Shintaro MochizukiAlmaty Open - Almaty2025-10-16I.Hard6-3 6-3

Lorenzo MusettiShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-06Hard7-5 7-6(1)

Bu YunchaoketeShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-04Hard6-4 6-4

Jenson BrooksbyJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo2025-09-27Hard7-6(7) 6-1

Yoshihito NishiokaJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo2025-09-25Hard7-6(9) 6-3

Simulate a match with DarderiGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Sharp Market odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →