What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Tommy Paul

MENRising

Age29

BirthplaceVoorhees, USA

Height1.85m

Weight82kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:75%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:21 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.142

#8RD 66

Elo2.153

#14

Hard

Glicko-22.092

#24

Elo1.984

#15

Clay

Glicko-22.220

Elo1.967

#11

Grass

Glicko-21.727

#36

Elo1.707

#15

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202614-712-46-2

202516-712-41-2

202425-1310-410-2

202332-182-57-5

202230-172-67-4

202118-167-7—

Recent Matches

Hubert HurkaczWimbledon - London2026-07-03Grass4-6 7-6(5) 7-5 6-2

Soon-Woo KwonWimbledon - London2026-07-01Grass6-3 7-6(4) 6-2

Alexandre MullerWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-1 6-2 6-1

Francisco CerundoloHSBC Championships - London2026-06-21Grass6-7(4) 6-4 6-3

Ugo HumbertHSBC Championships - London2026-06-20Grass6-3 6-3

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaHSBC Championships - London2026-06-19Grass6-3 7-6(4)

Botic Van De ZandschulpHSBC Championships - London2026-06-18Grass7-6(5) 6-3

Zachary SvajdaHSBC Championships - London2026-06-15Grass7-5 6-3

Casper RuudFrench Open - Paris2026-05-29Clay4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(4) 7-5

Lorenzo SonegoFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay6-3 6-2 6-4

Rinky HijikataFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay4-6 6-3 7-5 6-4

Ignacio BuseHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-23Clay7-6(6) 4-6 6-3

Alex De MinaurHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-22Clay2-6 6-3 6-3

Daniel AltmaierHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-21Clay6-2 7-5

Tomas Martin EtcheverryHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-20Clay6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7)

Ethan QuinnHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-17Clay6-1 6-3

Luciano DarderiInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-10Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Aleksandar VukicInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay6-4 6-2

Thiago Agustin TiranteMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay7-5 6-4

Roman Andres BurruchagaUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-04-05Clay6-1 3-6 7-5

Tomas Martin EtcheverryUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-04-04Clay6-4 6-2

Frances TiafoeUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-04-04Clay7-5 4-6 7-6(7)

Adolfo Daniel VallejoUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-04-02Clay3-6 6-4 6-4

Arthur FilsMiami Open - Miami2026-03-25Hard6-7(3) 7-6(4) 7-6(6)

Tomas Martin EtcheverryMiami Open - Miami2026-03-24Hard6-1 6-3

Raphael CollignonMiami Open - Miami2026-03-22Hard6-2 3-6 7-6(5)

Adrian MannarinoMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-2 2-6 6-4

Joao FonsecaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-08Hard6-2 6-3

Zizou BergsBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-06Hard6-1 6-2

Sebastian KordaDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-22Hard6-4 6-3

Learner TienDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-21Hard4-6 6-4 6-3

Taylor FritzDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-20Hard6-4 6-3

Adam WaltonDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-19Hard7-6(11) 6-3

Corentin MoutetDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-17Hard4-6 6-3 6-4

Miomir KecmanovicDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-12I.Hard5-7 6-4 6-4

Jenson BrooksbyDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-11I.Hard4-6 6-4 7-6(4)

Zsombor PirosDavis Cup, World Group, Q, HUN-USA 0-42026-02-07Clay7-6(3) 6-3

Carlos AlcarazAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-25Hard7-6(6) 6-4 7-5

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard6-1 6-1 ret.

Thiago Agustin TiranteAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard6-3 6-4 6-2

Aleksandar KovacevicAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-4 6-3 6-3

Tomas MachacAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-16Hard2-6 6-3 6-3

Aleksandar VukicAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-15Hard6-3 6-2

Reilly OpelkaAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-14Hard6-4 6-4

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-06Hard7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(6)

Alexander BublikU.S. Open - New York2025-08-30Hard7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1

Nuno BorgesU.S. Open - New York2025-08-28Hard7-6(6) 6-3 5-7 5-7 7-5

Elmer MollerU.S. Open - New York2025-08-26Hard6-3 6-3 6-1

Adrian MannarinoCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-11Hard5-7 6-3 6-4

Pedro Martinez PorteroCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-09Hard6-2 6-2

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