What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

ATP10d inactive

Glicko-22.024

#40 overall·RD 65

Elo2.030#44 overall

Recent Form

20% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-22.004#52

Elo1.859#47

Clay

Glicko-22.121#24

Elo1.838#59

Grass

Glicko-21.377#3290

Elo1.430#2941

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges

French Open - Paris

2026-05-24Clay6-3 6-4 6-2

Tommy Paul

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-20Clay6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7)

Terence Atmane

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-18Clay6-2 7-6(4)

Mattia Bellucci

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-09Clay5-7 6-2 6-3

Arthur Fils

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-28Clay6-3 6-4

Dino Prizmic

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-26Clay2-6 6-4 6-3

Sebastian Ofner

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-24Clay6-4 6-4

Nuno Borges

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-15Clay6-3 7-6(4)

Jack Draper

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-13Clay3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.

Carlos Alcaraz

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-09Clay6-1 4-6 6-3

Terence Atmane

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-08Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Grigor Dimitrov

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-07Clay6-4 2-6 6-3

Tommy Paul

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-04-04Clay6-4 6-2

Alex Bolt

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-04-01Clay6-7(5) 6-0 6-3

Federico Agustin Gomez

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-03-31Clay1-6 6-1 6-4

Tommy Paul

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-24Hard6-1 6-3

Rafael Jodar

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-22Hard7-5 6-4

Zizou Bergs

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-21Hard7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Denis Shapovalov

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-06Hard6-3 2-6 7-6(5)

Vit Kopriva

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-22Clay4-6 7-6(2) 7-6(4)

Alejandro Tabilo

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-22Clay3-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Jaime Faria

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-20Clay7-6(4) 6-4

Vilius Gaubas

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-19Clay7-6(1) 6-4

Francisco Comesana

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-17Clay3-6 6-3 6-4

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

2026-02-14Clay6-3 7-5

Alejandro Tabilo

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

2026-02-13Clay1-6 6-3 6-4

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

2026-02-11Clay7-6(5) 6-7(3) 6-4

Andrea Pellegrino

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

2026-02-09Clay6-3 6-4

Alexander Bublik

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-23Hard7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-4

Arthur Fery

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard7-6(4) 6-1 6-3

Miomir Kecmanovic

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-18Hard6-2 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4

Nuno Borges

ASB Classic - Auckland

2026-01-13Hard7-5 3-6 7-6(2)

Lorenzo Musetti

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong

2026-01-07Hard6-7(3) 6-2 6-4

Valentin Royer

Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong

2026-01-06Hard6-4 7-5

Jan-Lennard Struff

Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ARG-GER 1-2

2025-11-20I.Hard7-6(3) 7-6(7)

Alexandre Muller

Hellenic Championship - Athens

2025-11-05I.Hard6-7(2) 7-6(4) 7-6(3)

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Hellenic Championship - Athens

2025-11-04I.Hard6-7(5) 7-6(3) 6-3

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-28I.Hard7-5 6-3

Jesper De Jong

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-26I.Hard6-2 6-3

Pedro Martinez Portero

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-25I.Hard6-2 6-4

Lorenzo Musetti

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-23I.Hard6-3 6-4

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-21I.Hard6-3 6-3

Holger Rune

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm

2025-10-17I.Hard6-7(4) 6-3 6-4

Miomir Kecmanovic

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm

2025-10-16I.Hard6-4 4-6 6-3

Mark Lajal

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm

2025-10-14I.Hard7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3

Corentin Moutet

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

2025-09-21Hard3-6 3-0 ret.

Rinky Hijikata

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

2025-09-20Hard6-1 6-4

Damir Dzumhur

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou

2025-09-18Hard6-2 6-4

Jiri Lehecka

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-27Hard3-6 6-0 6-2 6-4

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-24Hard6-3 6-2 6-0

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