What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

MEN33Slump

Age27

BirthplaceLa Plata, Argentina

Height1.96m

Weight82kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:25%

Fatigue:33/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.990

#57RD 69

Elo1.975

#71

Hard

Glicko-22.004

#53

Elo1.859

#50

Clay

Glicko-22.120

#23

Elo1.855

#58

Grass

Glicko-21.255

#3274

Elo1.400

#2991

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20265-516-90-3

202515-138-122-4

202413-1518-121-3

20239-1320-121-2

20222-51-80-1

20210-11-1—

Recent Matches

Ignacio BuseGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-23Clay6-2 7-5

Jurij RodionovGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-22Clay6-2 7-6(4)

Daniel Merida AguilarPlava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag2026-07-15Clay7-5 6-4

Lorenzo SonegoWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass6-4 6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(4)

Gabriel DialloLexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne2026-06-24Grass6-7(11) 6-3 6-2

Daniil MedvedevTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-16Grass6-3 6-4

Nuno BorgesFrench Open - Paris2026-05-24Clay6-3 6-4 6-2

Tommy PaulHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-20Clay6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-6(7)

Terence AtmaneHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-18Clay6-2 7-6(4)

Mattia BellucciInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay5-7 6-2 6-3

Arthur FilsMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-28Clay6-3 6-4

Dino PrizmicMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-26Clay2-6 6-4 6-3

Sebastian OfnerMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay6-4 6-4

Nuno BorgesBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-15Clay6-3 7-6(4)

Jack DraperBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-13Clay3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.

Carlos AlcarazMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-09Clay6-1 4-6 6-3

Terence AtmaneMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-08Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Grigor DimitrovMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay6-4 2-6 6-3

Tommy PaulUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-04-04Clay6-4 6-2

Alex BoltUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-04-01Clay6-7(5) 6-0 6-3

Federico Agustin GomezUS Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston2026-03-31Clay1-6 6-1 6-4

Tommy PaulMiami Open - Miami2026-03-24Hard6-1 6-3

Rafael JodarMiami Open - Miami2026-03-22Hard7-5 6-4

Zizou BergsMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Denis ShapovalovBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-06Hard6-3 2-6 7-6(5)

Vit KoprivaRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-22Clay4-6 7-6(2) 7-6(4)

Alejandro TabiloRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-22Clay3-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Jaime FariaRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-20Clay7-6(4) 6-4

Vilius GaubasRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-19Clay7-6(1) 6-4

Francisco ComesanaRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-17Clay3-6 6-3 6-4

Francisco CerundoloArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-14Clay6-3 7-5

Alejandro TabiloArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-13Clay1-6 6-3 6-4

Roman Andres BurruchagaArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-11Clay7-6(5) 6-7(3) 6-4

Andrea PellegrinoArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-09Clay6-3 6-4

Alexander BublikAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-4

Arthur FeryAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard7-6(4) 6-1 6-3

Miomir KecmanovicAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-18Hard6-2 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-4

Nuno BorgesASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-13Hard7-5 3-6 7-6(2)

Lorenzo MusettiHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-07Hard6-7(3) 6-2 6-4

Valentin RoyerHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-06Hard6-4 7-5

Jan-Lennard StruffDavis Cup, World Group, QF, ARG-GER 1-22025-11-20I.Hard7-6(3) 7-6(7)

Alexandre MullerHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-05I.Hard6-7(2) 7-6(4) 7-6(3)

Mackenzie McdonaldHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-04I.Hard6-7(5) 7-6(3) 6-3

Camilo Ugo CarabelliRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-28I.Hard7-5 6-3

Jesper De JongRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-26I.Hard6-2 6-3

Pedro Martinez PorteroRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-25I.Hard6-2 6-4

Lorenzo MusettiErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-23I.Hard6-3 6-4

Nicolai Budkov KjaerErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-21I.Hard6-3 6-3

Holger RuneBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-17I.Hard6-7(4) 6-3 6-4

Miomir KecmanovicBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-16I.Hard6-4 4-6 6-3

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