What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Thiago Agustin Tirante

ATP5d inactive45 Low Fatigue

Glicko-21.990

#56 overall·RD 64

Elo2.052#35 overall

Recent Form

40% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-21.865#245

Elo1.718#222

Clay

Glicko-22.108#28

Elo1.912#23

Grass

Glicko-21.375#3294

Elo1.449#2916

Recent Matches

Pablo Carreno-Busta

French Open - Paris

2026-05-29Clay7-6(0) 7-5 3-6 6-4

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

French Open - Paris

2026-05-27Clay4-6 7-6(4) 6-1 6-3

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

French Open - Paris

2026-05-24Clay6-3 7-6(6) 6-7(5) 6-0

Arthur Rinderknech

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva

2026-05-18Clay6-4 6-1

Daniil Medvedev

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-12Clay6-3 6-2

Flavio Cobolli

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-11Clay6-3 6-4

Cameron Norrie

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-09Clay6-3 7-5

Gianluca Cadenasso

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-07Clay6-7(5) 6-4 6-0

Cameron Norrie

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-26Clay7-5 7-6(5)

Tommy Paul

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-24Clay7-5 6-4

Roberto Bautista Agut

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-22Clay6-2 6-4

Roman Andres Burruchaga

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-04-04Clay6-1 6-1

Ben Shelton

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-04-03Clay6-7(5) 6-3 6-4

Mackenzie Mcdonald

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-04-02Clay6-2 6-0

Colton Smith

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2026-03-31Clay6-0 6-3

Francisco Cerundolo

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-21Hard6-4 6-2

Valentin Royer

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-20Hard7-5 6-7(9) 7-6(5)

Martin Landaluce

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-17Hard3-6 7-5 6-4

Diego Dedura

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-16Hard6-2 6-3

Francesco Maestrelli

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-03Hard7-6(5) 6-4

Izyan Ahmad

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-02Hard6-1 6-2

Alejandro Tabilo

BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago

2026-02-26Clay4-6 6-3 6-3

Ignacio Buse

BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago

2026-02-24Clay2-6 7-6(0) 7-6(2)

Alejandro Tabilo

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-20Clay7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-1

Francisco Cerundolo

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-18Clay6-2 3-1 ret.

Cristian Garin

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

2026-02-16Clay7-5 6-3

Soon-Woo Kwon

Davis Cup, World Group, Q, KOR-ARG 3-2

2026-02-08I.Hard6-4 4-6 6-3

Hyeon Chung

Davis Cup, World Group, Q, KOR-ARG 3-2

2026-02-07I.Hard2-6 7-5 7-6(5)

Mattia Bellucci

Manama Challenger

2026-01-30Hard6-4 6-4

Joel Schwaerzler

Manama Challenger

2026-01-29Hard3-6 6-2 6-3

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Manama Challenger

2026-01-27Hard6-3 6-3

Tommy Paul

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard6-3 6-4 6-2

Aleksandar Vukic

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-19Hard7-5 6-2 6-2

Andrea Vavassori

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-12Hard6-2 6-3

Jesper De Jong

Adelaide International - Adelaide

2026-01-11Hard3-6 6-1 6-3

Tomasz Berkieta

Lyon Challenger

2025-11-10I.Hard6-2 6-1

Henry Bernet

Hellenic Championship - Athens

2025-11-01I.Hard7-5 6-4

Mark Lajal

Bratislava 2 Challenger

2025-10-30I.Hard7-5 6-3

Francesco Passaro

Bratislava 2 Challenger

2025-10-29I.Hard6-4 7-5

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Costa do Sauipe Challenger

2025-10-25Clay6-4 6-2

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Costa do Sauipe Challenger

2025-10-24Clay7-6(3) 6-4

Alex Barrena

Costa do Sauipe Challenger

2025-10-20Clay7-5 6-7(3) 6-3

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Curitiba Challenger

2025-10-15Clay7-6(7) 3-6 7-5

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Curitiba Challenger

2025-10-13Clay4-6 7-5 6-3

Nicolas Mejia

Cali Challenger

2025-10-07Clay7-6(2) 6-4

Aristotelis Thanos

Cali Challenger

2025-10-06Clay6-4 6-3

Juan Sebastian Osorio

Cali Challenger

2025-10-05Clay6-4 6-2

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Buenos Aires Challenger

2025-09-23Clay6-3 6-4

Gabriele Piraino

Bad Waltersdorf Challenger

2025-09-17Clay2-6 6-1 6-4

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Szczecin Challenger

2025-09-14Clay6-3 6-2

Simulate a match with AgustinGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Pinnacle odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →