What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Sebastian Baez

MEN67Rising

Age25

BirthplaceBuenos Aires, Argentina

Height1.70m

Weight70kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:67/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.971

#73RD 66

Elo1.942

#95

Hard

Glicko-21.978

#76

Elo1.746

#177

Clay

Glicko-22.024

#61

Elo1.817

#73

Grass

Glicko-21.250

#3282

Elo1.392

#3000

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202610-49-110-1

20253-1214-110-1

20245-1426-110-3

202310-1220-121-2

20223-1621-122-2

20212-21-1—

Recent Matches

Yannick HanfmannGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-23Clay6-3 6-1

Arthur RinderknechGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-22Clay7-6(6) 2-6 6-4

Miomir KecmanovicGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-21Clay6-3 3-6 6-4

Andrey RublevNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-17Clay6-1 6-2

Jesper De JongNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-16Clay6-4 6-2

Max DahlinNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-14Clay4-6 6-4 6-1

Jan-Lennard StruffWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-1 7-6(4) 4-6 2-6 7-5

Alex MolcanProstejov Challenger2026-06-07Clay6-4 6-2

Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoProstejov Challenger2026-06-06Clay6-2 7-6(2)

Maxim MrvaProstejov Challenger2026-06-05Clay6-4 7-5

Tristan BoyerProstejov Challenger2026-06-03Clay6-2 6-4

Sascha Gueymard WayenburgProstejov Challenger2026-06-02Clay6-4 6-3

Roman Andres BurruchagaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay2-6 7-5 6-2 2-0 ret.

Alex MichelsenGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-18Clay7-5 6-3

Pablo Carreno-BustaValencia Challenger2026-05-14Clay5-7 7-5 7-5

Roberto Carballes BaenaValencia Challenger2026-05-12Clay6-4 6-2

Alexander BublikInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay6-1 6-2

Jenson BrooksbyInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-06Clay6-3 7-6(8)

Vilius GaubasMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-23Clay7-5 6-1

Tomas MachacBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-14Clay2-6 6-4 6-1

Carlos AlcarazMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay6-1 6-3

Stan WawrinkaMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-06Clay7-5 7-5

Titouan DroguetTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-04-03Clay6-4 6-4

Vilius GaubasTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-03-31Clay6-3 6-1

Adam WaltonMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-2 6-2

Daniil MedvedevBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-09Hard6-4 6-0

Jiri LeheckaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard6-4 6-1

Chun Hsin TsengBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-05Hard6-3 6-2

Luciano DarderiBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-28Clay6-4 6-3

Alejandro TabiloBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-27Clay7-6(2) 6-1

Cristian GarinBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-26Clay7-6(2) 1-6 7-5

Jaime FariaRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-17Clay7-5 6-1

Luciano DarderiArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-14Clay7-6(2) 6-1

Camilo Ugo CarabelliArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-13Clay7-6(5) 6-2

Ignacio BuseArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-12Clay6-4 6-3

Luciano DarderiAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-22Hard6-3 1-6 6-4 6-3

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-20Hard6-4 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3

Jakub MensikASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-17Hard6-3 7-6(7)

Ben SheltonASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-16Hard7-5 6-3

Marcos GironASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-16Hard6-1 6-4

Jenson BrooksbyASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-14Hard7-5 6-0

Emilio NavaASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-12Hard4-6 7-5 6-3

Stan WawrinkaUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-07Hard7-5 6-4

Taylor FritzUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-03Hard4-6 7-5 6-4

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-02Hard6-4 6-4

Alvaro Guillen MezaMontevideo Challenger2025-11-11Clay7-6(3) 6-4

Cameron NorrieRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard6-3 6-4

Reilly OpelkaSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-21I.Hard6-3 6-4

Valentin RoyerEuropean Open - Brussels2025-10-14I.Hard6-2 6-3

Holger RuneShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-03Hard7-5 6-4

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