What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Raphael Collignon

MEN64

Age24

BirthplaceRochester, Olmsted

Height1.91m

Weight86kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:50%

Fatigue:64/100

Inactive:3 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.075

#25RD 65

Elo2.072

#33

Hard

Glicko-22.084

#26

Elo1.902

#30

Clay

Glicko-22.122

#22

Elo1.887

#34

Grass

Glicko-21.581

#133

Elo1.500

#260

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20266-47-42-3

20258-61-40-1

20240-3——

Recent Matches

Daniel AltmaierGenerali Open - Kitzbuhel2026-07-21Clay6-3 6-2

Stefanos TsitsipasEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-19Clay6-4 6-7(3) 6-3

Juan Manuel CerundoloEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-18Clay1-6 7-6(5) 7-5

Valentin VacherotEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-17Clay7-6(7) 4-6 7-5

Lorenzo SonegoEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-15Clay7-6(2) 7-6(5)

Timofey SkatovEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-13Clay3-6 7-6(1) 6-4

Arthur FilsWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass7-5 6-1 6-3

Juan Manuel CerundoloLexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne2026-06-22Grass6-4 4-6 7-6(5)

Alexander ZverevTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-19Grass7-6(10) 7-6(2)

Mattia BellucciTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-18Grass4-6 6-4 6-3

Alexei PopyrinTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-16Grass6-4 6-2

Roberto Bautista AgutTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-14Grass6-2 6-4

Aziz DougazTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-13Grass6-4 6-2

Matteo ArnaldiFrench Open - Paris2026-05-30Clay6-4 6-7(5) 5-7 6-4 7-6(4)

Ben SheltonFrench Open - Paris2026-05-28Clay6-4 7-5 6-4

Aleksandar VukicFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay6-3 6-3 7-6(4)

Casper RuudGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-20Clay7-6(2) 6-2

Adrian MannarinoGonet Geneva Open - Geneva2026-05-19Clay6-3 7-6(5)

Juan Manuel CerundoloBordeaux Challenger2026-05-17Clay5-7 6-1 7-6(4)

Tallon GriekspoorBordeaux Challenger2026-05-16Clay7-5 6-1

Titouan DroguetBordeaux Challenger2026-05-15Clay6-2 7-6(6)

Alexander ShevchenkoBordeaux Challenger2026-05-14Clay7-6(5) 4-0 ret.

Geoffrey BlancaneauxBordeaux Challenger2026-05-13Clay6-2 6-1

Dino PrizmicMonza Challenger2026-04-12Clay7-6(2) 6-3

Martin LandaluceMonza Challenger2026-04-11Clay6-1 6-4

Luca Van AsscheMonza Challenger2026-04-10Clay6-4 6-0

Remy BertolaMonza Challenger2026-04-08Clay6-2 7-6(1)

Christopher O'ConnellMonza Challenger2026-04-07Clay6-2 6-2

Tommy PaulMiami Open - Miami2026-03-22Hard6-2 3-6 7-6(5)

Flavio CobolliMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard7-5 6-3

Grigor DimitrovMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(6)

Mattia BellucciCap Cana Challenger2026-03-13Hard6-4 6-2

Luca Van AsscheCap Cana Challenger2026-03-12Hard7-5 6-4

Tomas Barrios VeraCap Cana Challenger2026-03-10Hard7-6(4) 6-3

Joao FonsecaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-04Hard7-6(2) 6-4

Benjamin BonziPau Challenger2026-02-15I.Hard7-6(5) 6-1

Clement TaburPau Challenger2026-02-14I.Hard7-5 6-4

Luca Van AsschePau Challenger2026-02-13I.Hard6-2 6-4

Martin DammPau Challenger2026-02-12I.Hard7-6(5) 7-6(5)

Patrick ZahrajPau Challenger2026-02-11I.Hard7-5 6-2

Ivan IvanovDavis Cup, World Group, Q, BUL-BEL 0-42026-02-08I.Hard6-2 6-2

Lorenzo MusettiAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-20Hard4-6 7-6(3) 7-5 3-2 ret.

Andrea VavassoriAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-11Hard6-3 7-6(5)

Brandon NakashimaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-09Hard6-3 6-3

Grigor DimitrovBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-08Hard7-6(1) 6-3

Denis ShapovalovBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-06Hard6-4 6-2

Ethan QuinnBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-04Hard7-5 6-3

Alexander ShevchenkoBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-03Hard7-5 6-4

Matteo BerrettiniDavis Cup, World Group, SF, ITA-BEL 2-02025-11-21I.Hard6-3 6-4

Corentin MoutetDavis Cup, World Group, QF, FRA-BEL 0-22025-11-18I.Hard2-6 7-5 7-5

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