What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Paula Badosa Gibert

WOMEN72Hot

Age28

BirthplaceNew York City, USA

Height1.80m

Weight—

Best HandRight

Backhand—

Recent Form

Win Rate:88%

Fatigue:72/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.055

#25RD 66

Elo2.073

#40

Hard

Glicko-21.978

#55

Elo1.917

#34

Clay

Glicko-22.179

#12

Elo1.912

#19

Grass

Glicko-21.619

#88

Elo1.603

#53

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20264-76-42-3

202513-83-22-2

202426-136-55-2

20236-411-41-1

202221-158-53-2

202123-1217-33-2

Recent Matches

Panna UdvardyMSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg2026-07-23Clay6-4 6-1

Katarzyna KawaMSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg2026-07-22Clay7-5 6-4

Mayar SherifUniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi2026-07-20Clay6-4 4-0 ret.

Tamara ZidansekUniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi2026-07-18Clay3-6 7-5 7-6(1)

Panna UdvardyUniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi2026-07-17Clay6-4 7-6(2)

Alevtina IbragimovaUniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi2026-07-16Clay7-6(5) 1-6 6-4

Anhelina KalininaUniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi2026-07-14Clay6-3 6-1

Simona WaltertNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-11Clay7-5 7-5

Yulia PutintsevaNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-10Clay6-1 6-2

Varvara LepchenkoNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-09Clay7-5 7-6(3)

Emiliana ArangoNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-08Clay6-3 6-2

Marina Bassols RiberaNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-06Clay6-3 6-2

Emma NavarroWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass4-6 6-3 7-5

Linda NoskovaBerlin Tennis Open - Berlin2026-06-19Grass6-1 6-3

Cori GauffBerlin Tennis Open - Berlin2026-06-17Grass1-6 6-3 6-2

Suzan LamensBerlin Tennis Open - Berlin2026-06-16Grass6-3 6-2

Daria SnigurLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-08Grass6-1 7-6(2)

Julia GrabherMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-21Clay7-6(3) 4-6 6-0

Eva LysPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-14Clay2-6 7-5 6-4

Lilli TaggerUpper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz2026-04-07Clay6-4 7-6(5)

Anna KalinskayaCredit One Charleston Open - Charleston2026-04-03Clay6-4 6-2

Maria SakkariCredit One Charleston Open - Charleston2026-04-01Clay6-3 6-4

Kayla DayCredit One Charleston Open - Charleston2026-03-31Clay6-4 6-3

Iva JovicMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard6-2 6-1

Aliaksandra SasnovichMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard7-5 6-3

Bianca Vanessa AndreescuAustin 125 - Austin2026-03-13Hard6-2 3-6 6-3

Sinja KrausAustin 125 - Austin2026-03-12Hard7-5 6-1

Lulu SunAustin 125 - Austin2026-03-11Hard6-1 7-6(6)

Elena Gabriela RuseAustin 125 - Austin2026-03-10Hard2-6 6-2 7-5

Yulia PutintsevaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-04Hard6-4 6-2

Elina SvitolinaDubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai2026-02-17Hard6-4 ret.

Katerina SiniakovaDubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai2026-02-16Hard6-3 7-5

Aliaksandra SasnovichMubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi2026-02-02Hard6-4 3-6 6-1

Oksana SelekhmetevaAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-22Hard6-4 6-4

Zarina DiyasAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-2 6-4

Marie BouzkovaAdelaide International - Adelaide2026-01-12Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Elena RybakinaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-08Hard6-3 6-2

Marie BouzkovaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-06Hard6-7(4) 6-4 6-2

Karolina MuchovaChina Open - Beijing2025-09-28Hard4-2 ret.

Antonia RuzicChina Open - Beijing2025-09-26Hard6-3 7-6(2)

Elina SvitolinaBillie Jean King Cup, Finals2025-09-17I.Hard5-7 6-2 7-5

Katie BoulterWimbledon - London2025-06-30Grass6-2 3-6 6-4

Xinyu WangBerlin Ladies Open - Berlin2025-06-20Grass6-1 ret.

Emma NavarroBerlin Ladies Open - Berlin2025-06-18Grass7-6(2) 6-3

Eva LysBerlin Ladies Open - Berlin2025-06-16Grass6-1 6-3

Daria KasatkinaFrench Open - Paris2025-05-31Clay6-1 7-5

Elena Gabriela RuseFrench Open - Paris2025-05-29Clay3-6 6-4 6-4

Naomi OsakaFrench Open - Paris2025-05-26Clay6-7(1) 6-1 6-4

Liudmila SamsonovaInternationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg2025-05-22Clay6-4 3-6 6-4

Marie BouzkovaInternationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg2025-05-20Clay3-3 ret.

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