What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Nuno Borges

MEN46Rising

Age29

BirthplaceMaia, Portugal

Height1.85m

Weight78kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:50%

Fatigue:46/100

Inactive:2 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.959

#84RD 64

Elo2.014

#52

Hard

Glicko-21.929

#141

Elo1.807

#89

Clay

Glicko-22.006

#72

Elo1.824

#71

Grass

Glicko-21.695

#49

Elo1.562

#84

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20266-97-75-4

202517-178-104-4

202414-1611-60-3

20236-93-60-2

20224-32-20-1

2021—1-1—

Recent Matches

Roman Andres BurruchagaMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-22Clay6-1 4-6 6-3

Orlando LuzMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-21Clay6-3 6-3

Luciano DarderiNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-17Clay7-6(9) 6-4

Grigor DimitrovNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-15Clay6-4 6-2

Moise KouameNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-14Clay6-4 6-2

Jannik SinnerWimbledon - London2026-07-01Grass7-6(4) 7-6(2) 6-4

Tristan BoyerWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-3 7-5 7-5

Ethan QuinnMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-26Grass6-1 6-2

Luciano DarderiMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-25Grass7-6(1) 6-4

Jan-Lennard StruffMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-23Grass6-4 7-5

Adrian MannarinoMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-21Grass6-2 6-2

Felix Auger AliassimeTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-15Grass6-3 3-6 6-3

Marin CilicLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-12Grass3-6 7-6(5) 6-3

Terence AtmaneLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-08Grass6-4 6-4

Andrey RublevFrench Open - Paris2026-05-29Clay7-5 7-6(2) 7-6(2)

Miomir KecmanovicFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay3-6 6-2 6-1 6-2

Tomas Martin EtcheverryFrench Open - Paris2026-05-24Clay6-3 6-4 6-2

Rafael JodarInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay7-6(4) 6-4

Jesper De JongInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-06Clay6-3 6-0

Matteo ArnaldiCagliari Challenger2026-05-01Clay6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(3)

Cristian GarinCagliari Challenger2026-04-30Clay6-4 3-6 7-6(6)

Mariano NavoneMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-23Clay6-3 6-4

Hamad MedjedovicBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-17Clay7-6(6) 6-2

Tomas Martin EtcheverryBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-15Clay6-3 7-6(4)

Adrian MannarinoBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-13Clay6-3 6-4

Andrey RublevMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-06Clay6-4 1-6 6-1

Damir DzumhurTiriac Open - Bucharest2026-04-01Clay7-6(1) 6-4

Reilly OpelkaMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard6-7(6) 6-2 7-6(5)

Marcos GironPhoenix Challenger2026-03-13Hard7-6(8) 6-2

James DuckworthPhoenix Challenger2026-03-12Hard3-6 6-4 6-2

Valentin VacherotBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard7-5 7-5

Emilio NavaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-05Hard7-6(9) 7-5

Frances TiafoeAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2026-02-24Hard6-4 6-4

Chak Lam Coleman WongDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-16Hard7-6(5) 4-6 6-3

Zhizhen ZhangDavis Cup, Group I, PO, CHN-POR 3-12026-02-07I.Hard7-5 6-4

Yibing WuDavis Cup, Group I, PO, CHN-POR 3-12026-02-06I.Hard6-1 7-6(3)

Learner TienAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard7-6(9) 6-4 6-2

Jordan ThompsonAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard6-7(9) 6-3 6-2 6-4

Felix Auger AliassimeAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard3-6 6-4 6-4 ret.

Eliot SpizzirriASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-14Hard7-6(6) 6-4

Tomas Martin EtcheverryASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-13Hard7-5 3-6 7-6(2)

Andrey RublevHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-09Hard6-3 6-4

Marin CilicHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-07Hard7-5 6-3

Damir DzumhurHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-05Hard6-4 6-3

Novak DjokovicHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-06I.Hard7-6(1) 6-4

Eliot SpizzirriHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-04I.Hard5-7 6-3 6-4

Stefanos SakellaridisHellenic Championship - Athens2025-11-02I.Hard7-6(4) 6-3

Learner TienRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard6-2 7-6(7)

Daniil MedvedevErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-22I.Hard6-4 6-7(7) 6-2

Alex De MinaurShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-08Hard7-5 6-2

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