What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Marin Cilic

MEN

Age37

BirthplaceMedjugorje, Bosnia-Herzegovina

Height1.98m

Weight89kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:38%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:25 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.965

#78RD 73

Elo1.952

#89

Hard

Glicko-22.009

#49

Elo1.852

#56

Clay

Glicko-21.838

#265

Elo1.659

#391

Grass

Glicko-21.629

#87

Elo1.647

#32

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20268-63-42-3

20255-80-43-1

20246-80-1—

20231-00-1—

202220-159-53-1

202119-165-59-2

Recent Matches

Daniil MedvedevWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-1 6-2 6-4

Ugo HumbertHSBC Championships - London2026-06-16Grass7-5 6-3

Daniil MedvedevLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-13Grass6-2 3-6 6-1

Nuno BorgesLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-12Grass3-6 7-6(5) 6-3

Denis ShapovalovLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-08Grass6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

Moise KouameFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay7-6(4) 6-2 6-1

Martin LandaluceInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay6-4 6-4

Marcos GironInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-07Clay7-5 6-4

Zizou BergsMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-22Clay4-6 6-3 6-4

Daniel AltmaierBMW Open - Munich2026-04-14Clay6-2 6-3

Felix Auger AliassimeMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-08Clay7-6(4) 6-3

Alexander ShevchenkoMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay6-1 6-3

Alexander ZverevMiami Open - Miami2026-03-23Hard6-2 5-7 6-4

Brandon NakashimaMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard2-6 6-4 7-6(7)

Alexei PopyrinMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard6-4 6-4

Zachary SvajdaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-04Hard7-6(5) 6-4

Brandon NakashimaDelray Beach Open - Delray Beach2026-02-17Hard7-6(4) 7-6(5)

Taylor FritzDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-14I.Hard7-6(5) 7-6(3)

Jack Pinnington JonesDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-13I.Hard6-1 6-4

Ethan QuinnDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-12I.Hard7-6(4) 6-3

Learner TienDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-10I.Hard7-5 7-6(4)

Casper RuudAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-24Hard6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5

Denis ShapovalovAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-22Hard6-4 6-3 6-2

Daniel AltmaierAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-0 6-0 7-6(3)

Nuno BorgesHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-07Hard7-5 6-3

Adrian MannarinoHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-05Hard6-3 6-2

Otto VirtanenHelsinki Challenger2025-11-07I.Hard7-5 6-4

Stefano NapolitanoHelsinki Challenger2025-11-05I.Hard6-2 4-6 7-5

Benjamin HassanHelsinki Challenger2025-11-03I.Hard6-4 7-5

Felix Auger AliassimeSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-23I.Hard7-6(2) 7-6(2)

David GoffinSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-21I.Hard7-6(9) 7-5

Adam WaltonSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-18I.Hard6-4 6-1

Casper RuudBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-15I.Hard7-6(2) 6-4

Nicolai Budkov KjaerBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-14I.Hard7-5 6-3

Novak DjokovicShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-03Hard7-6(2) 6-4

Nikoloz BasilashviliShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-01Hard6-3 7-6(5)

Jannik SinnerChina Open - Beijing2025-09-25Hard6-2 6-2

Nishesh BasavareddyHangzhou Open - Hangzhou2025-09-18Hard4-6 6-4 6-3

Corentin MoutetDavis Cup, World Group, Q2, CRO-FRA 1-32025-09-13Clay7-5 6-4

Arthur RinderknechDavis Cup, World Group, Q2, CRO-FRA 1-32025-09-12Clay6-2 6-4

Alexander BublikU.S. Open - New York2025-08-26Hard6-4 6-1 6-4

Flavio CobolliWimbledon - London2025-07-07Grass6-4 6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(3)

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarWimbledon - London2025-07-05Grass6-3 3-6 6-2 6-4

Jack DraperWimbledon - London2025-07-03Grass6-4 6-3 1-6 6-4

Raphael CollignonWimbledon - London2025-07-01Grass6-3 6-4 6-3

Shintaro MochizukiNottingham 2 Challenger2025-06-21Grass6-2 6-3

Martin LandaluceNottingham 2 Challenger2025-06-20Grass6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(7)

Tomas Barrios VeraNottingham 2 Challenger2025-06-19Grass6-1 6-3

Lloyd HarrisNottingham 2 Challenger2025-06-18Grass2-6 6-4 3-1 ret.

Hugo GrenierNottingham 2 Challenger2025-06-16Grass6-3 6-2

Simulate a match with CilicGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Sharp Market odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →