What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Karolina Muchova

WOMENHot

Age29

BirthplaceOlomouc, Czech Republic

Height1.80m

Weight—

Best HandRight

Backhand—

Recent Form

Win Rate:75%

Fatigue:2/100

Inactive:13 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.246

#6RD 65

Elo2.352

Hard

Glicko-22.241

Elo2.184

Clay

Glicko-22.172

#14

Elo1.843

#49

Grass

Glicko-21.940

Elo1.746

#10

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202618-46-311-2

202524-140-11-2

202416-44-22-1

202326-910-30-1

20226-43-30-2

202110-45-34-2

Recent Matches

Linda NoskovaWimbledon - London2026-07-11Grass6-2 5-7 6-3

Cori GauffWimbledon - London2026-07-09Grass2-6 6-1 7-6(8)

Naomi OsakaWimbledon - London2026-07-07Grass7-6(4) 6-4

Barbora KrejcikovaWimbledon - London2026-07-05Grass7-5 5-7 6-3

Mananchaya SawangkaewWimbledon - London2026-07-03Grass6-2 7-6(1)

Shuai ZhangWimbledon - London2026-07-01Grass6-3 6-2

Anastasia ZakharovaWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-3 6-2

Naomi OsakaBad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg2026-06-27Grass6-1 1-0 ret.

Elena Gabriela RuseBad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg2026-06-26Grass6-4 6-4

Clara TausonBad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg2026-06-25Grass1-6 6-2 6-4

Irina-Camelia BeguBad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg2026-06-24Grass6-1 6-1

Madison KeysBerlin Tennis Open - Berlin2026-06-18Grass6-4 7-5

Shuai ZhangBerlin Tennis Open - Berlin2026-06-16Grass6-1 6-3

Jil TeichmannFrench Open - Paris2026-05-29Clay6-1 7-5

Kamilla RakhimovaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay6-2 6-2

Anastasia ZakharovaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay7-5 6-2

Anastasia PotapovaInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay6-3 6-2

Elena RybakinaPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-19Clay7-5 6-1

Elina SvitolinaPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-18Clay6-4 2-6 6-4

Cori GauffPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-17Clay6-3 5-7 6-3

Elise MertensPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-16Clay1-6 6-3 6-0

Aliaksandra SasnovichPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-14Clay6-2 6-4

Cori GauffMiami Open - Miami2026-03-26Hard6-1 6-1

Victoria MbokoMiami Open - Miami2026-03-24Hard7-5 7-6(5)

Alexandra EalaMiami Open - Miami2026-03-23Hard6-0 6-2

Katie BoulterMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard6-3 7-5

Maria Camila Osorio SerranoMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard4-6 6-2 7-5

Iga SwiatekBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-11Hard6-2 6-0

Antonia RuzicBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-09Hard6-0 6-3

Anna BondarBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard7-5 6-2

Victoria MbokoQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-14Hard6-4 7-5

Maria SakkariQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-13Hard3-6 6-4 6-1

Anna KalinskayaQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-12Hard6-3 6-4

Karolina PliskovaQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-11Hard5-2 ret.

Tereza ValentovaQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-10Hard6-1 6-4

Jaqueline CristianQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-08Hard6-2 6-3

Cori GauffAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-25Hard6-1 3-6 6-3

Magda LinetteAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard6-1 6-1

Alycia ParksAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard4-6 6-4 6-4

Jaqueline CristianAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-3 7-6(6)

Aryna SabalenkaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-10Hard6-3 6-4

Elena RybakinaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-09Hard6-2 2-6 6-4

Ekaterina AlexandrovaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-08Hard6-4 7-5

Ajla TomljanovicBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-06Hard4-6 6-1 7-6(5)

Belinda BencicToray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo2025-10-24Hard3-6 7-5 7-5

Maya JointToray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo2025-10-22Hard6-3 7-5

Marketa VondrousovaToray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo2025-10-20Hard6-2 1-0 ret.

Diana ShnaiderNingbo Open - Ningbo2025-10-15Hard2-6 6-1 6-2

Marketa VondrousovaNingbo Open - Ningbo2025-10-14Hard6-4 6-3

Magdalena FrechWuhan Open - Wuhan2025-10-08Hard7-6(1) 4-1 ret.

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