What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Jordan Thompson

ATP133d inactive

Glicko-21.908

#129 overall·RD 79

Elo1.923#94 overall

Recent Form

60% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-21.895#174

Elo1.788#105

Clay

Glicko-21.695#607

Elo1.462#2463

Grass

Glicko-21.647#76

Elo1.654#23

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard6-7(9) 6-3 6-2 6-4

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-19Hard6-7(3) 7-5 6-1 6-1

Jurij Rodionov

Noumea Challenger

2026-01-08Hard6-4 6-4

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

Noumea Challenger

2026-01-07Hard6-4 6-3

Emile Hudd

Noumea Challenger

2026-01-06Hard6-3 7-6(5)

Mats Rosenkranz

Sioux Falls Challenger

2025-10-24I.Hard7-5 1-0 ret.

Erik Arutiunian

Sioux Falls Challenger

2025-10-22I.Hard7-5 7-6(2)

Michael Mmoh

Sioux Falls Challenger

2025-10-20I.Hard6-3 6-4

Calvin Hemery

Roanne Challenger

2025-10-09I.Hard5-2 ret.

Dan Added

Roanne Challenger

2025-10-08I.Hard6-3 6-1

Ugo Humbert

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-03Hard6-3 7-6(4)

August Holmgren

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-01Hard4-6 6-3 6-4

Brandon Nakashima

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2025-09-25Hard6-7(6) 7-6(4) 6-2

Alejandro Tabilo

Chengdu Open - Chengdu

2025-09-18Hard6-4 6-3

Adrian Mannarino

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-27Hard6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3

Corentin Moutet

U.S. Open - New York

2025-08-24Hard6-2 6-4 1-6 6-3

Adrian Mannarino

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

2025-08-07Hard6-2 6-2

Taylor Fritz

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-06Grass6-1 3-0 ret.

Luciano Darderi

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-04Grass6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3

Benjamin Bonzi

Wimbledon - London

2025-07-02Grass7-5 6-7(2) 4-6 6-2 6-4

Vit Kopriva

Wimbledon - London

2025-06-30Grass3-6 4-6 6-3 7-6(1) 6-1

Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

cinch Championships - London

2025-06-17Grass7-5 ret.

Gabriel Diallo

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch

2025-06-11Grass4-6 6-1 7-5

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch

2025-06-09Grass6-4 6-4

Jiri Lehecka

French Open - Paris

2025-05-26Clay6-4 6-2 6-1

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2025-05-07Clay3-6 6-3 7-6(5)

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2025-04-08Clay4-6 6-4 6-2

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2025-04-06Clay6-4 6-3

Ethan Quinn

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

2025-04-01Clay4-6 6-4 6-3

Alexander Zverev

Miami Open - Miami

2025-03-24Hard7-5 6-4

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Miami Open - Miami

2025-03-22Hard7-6(4) 7-6(1)

Marcos Giron

Miami Open - Miami

2025-03-20Hard3-6 6-4 7-5

Corentin Moutet

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2025-03-05Hard6-4 4-6 6-3

Nuno Borges

Australian Open - Melbourne

2025-01-15Hard6-3 6-2 6-4

Dominik Koepfer

Australian Open - Melbourne

2025-01-13Hard7-6(3) 6-4 4-6 6-3

Grigor Dimitrov

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2025-01-03Hard6-1 2-1 ret.

Alex Michelsen

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2025-01-01Hard7-5 6-3

Matteo Berrettini

Brisbane International - Brisbane

2024-12-30Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Ugo Humbert

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2024-11-01I.Hard6-2 7-6(4)

Adrian Mannarino

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2024-10-31I.Hard7-5 7-6(5)

Casper Ruud

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2024-10-29I.Hard7-6(3) 3-6 6-4

Pedro Martinez Portero

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2024-10-28I.Hard6-4 6-4

Tallon Griekspoor

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2024-10-07Hard6-3 6-2

Kei Nishikori

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2024-09-28Hard6-2 6-3

Casper Ruud

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

2024-09-26Hard7-6(5) 6-1

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia

2024-09-15I.Hard2-6 6-2 7-6(3)

Alex De Minaur

U.S. Open - New York

2024-09-02Hard6-0 3-6 6-3 7-5

Matteo Arnaldi

U.S. Open - New York

2024-08-31Hard7-5 6-2 7-6(5)

Hubert Hurkacz

U.S. Open - New York

2024-08-29Hard7-6(2) 6-1 7-5

Constant Lestienne

U.S. Open - New York

2024-08-27Hard6-1 6-3 6-2

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