What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Jasmine Paolini

WOMENHot

Age30

BirthplaceCastelnuovo di Garfagnana, Italy

Height1.63m

Weight—

Best HandRight

Backhand—

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:16 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.074

#23RD 71

Elo2.155

#23

Hard

Glicko-22.063

#20

Elo1.950

#27

Clay

Glicko-22.024

#51

Elo1.928

#15

Grass

Glicko-21.881

#11

Elo1.732

#14

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20268-74-44-2

202528-1513-33-3

202423-1412-58-2

202322-176-50-3

202214-128-80-1

202117-143-50-1

Recent Matches

Marta KostyukWimbledon - London2026-07-08Grass6-3 6-2

Alexandra EalaWimbledon - London2026-07-06Grass6-4 4-6 6-3

Maria SakkariWimbledon - London2026-07-04Grass6-1 6-2

Viktorija GolubicWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass7-6(0) 6-4

Robin MontgomeryWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass0-6 6-4 7-5

Tatjana MariaLexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne2026-06-23Grass6-4 6-3

Solana SierraFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay3-6 6-4 6-3

Dayana YastremskaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay7-5 6-3

Elise MertensInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay4-6 7-6(5) 6-3

Leolia JeanjeanInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-07Clay6-7(4) 6-2 6-4

Hailey BaptisteMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-25Clay7-5 6-3

Laura SiegemundMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-23Clay3-6 6-2 6-4

Zeynep SonmezPorsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart2026-04-15Clay6-2 6-2

Himeno SakatsumeBillie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, ITA-JPN 3-12026-04-10Clay6-3 6-1

Jelena OstapenkoMiami Open - Miami2026-03-22Hard5-7 6-2 7-5

Taylor TownsendMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-3 1-6 6-2

Talia GibsonBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-10Hard7-5 2-6 6-1

Ajla TomljanovicBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-08Hard7-5 5-7 6-1

Anastasia PotapovaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-06Hard6-7(5) 6-2 6-3

Cristina BucsaMerida Open Akron - Merida2026-02-28Hard7-5 6-4

Katie BoulterMerida Open Akron - Merida2026-02-27Hard0-6 6-3 6-3

Priscilla HonMerida Open Akron - Merida2026-02-26Hard6-0 6-2

Alexandra EalaDubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai2026-02-17Hard6-1 7-6(5)

Maria SakkariQatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha2026-02-10Hard6-4 6-2

Iva JovicAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard6-2 7-6(3)

Magdalena FrechAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard6-2 6-3

Aliaksandra SasnovichAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-18Hard6-1 6-2

Leolia JeanjeanUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-06Hard6-2 6-3

Belinda BencicUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-04Hard6-4 6-3

Jessica PegulaWTA Finals - Riyadh2025-11-06I.Hard6-2 6-3

Cori GauffWTA Finals - Riyadh2025-11-04I.Hard6-3 6-2

Aryna SabalenkaWTA Finals - Riyadh2025-11-02I.Hard6-3 6-1

Elena RybakinaNingbo Open - Ningbo2025-10-18Hard6-3 6-2

Belinda BencicNingbo Open - Ningbo2025-10-17Hard5-7 7-5 6-3

Veronika KudermetovaNingbo Open - Ningbo2025-10-16Hard6-2 7-5

Cori GauffWuhan Open - Wuhan2025-10-11Hard6-4 6-3

Iga SwiatekWuhan Open - Wuhan2025-10-10Hard6-1 6-2

Clara TausonWuhan Open - Wuhan2025-10-09Hard3-6 6-1 3-1 ret.

Yue YuanWuhan Open - Wuhan2025-10-08Hard3-6 6-4 6-3

Amanda AnisimovaChina Open - Beijing2025-10-02Hard6-7(4) 6-3 6-4

Marie BouzkovaChina Open - Beijing2025-09-30Hard6-2 7-5

Sofia KeninChina Open - Beijing2025-09-28Hard6-3 6-0

Anastasija SevastovaChina Open - Beijing2025-09-26Hard6-1 6-3

Jessica PegulaBillie Jean King Cup, Finals2025-09-21I.Hard6-4 6-2

Elina SvitolinaBillie Jean King Cup, Finals2025-09-19I.Hard3-6 6-4 6-4

Xinyu WangBillie Jean King Cup, Finals2025-09-16I.Hard4-6 7-6(4) 6-4

Marketa VondrousovaU.S. Open - New York2025-08-29Hard7-6(4) 6-1

Iva JovicU.S. Open - New York2025-08-27Hard6-3 6-3

Destanee AiavaU.S. Open - New York2025-08-24Hard6-2 7-6(4)

Iga SwiatekCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-18Hard7-5 6-4

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