What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Jaime Faria

MEN41Hot

Age22

BirthplaceLisbon

Height1.88m

Weight78kg

Best HandRight

Backhand—

Recent Form

Win Rate:75%

Fatigue:41/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.995

#52RD 61

Elo2.008

#54

Hard

Glicko-21.882

#216

Elo1.713

#243

Clay

Glicko-22.033

#56

Elo1.914

#21

Grass

Glicko-21.733

#33

Elo1.626

#41

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20261-15-41-1

20251-24-70-1

20240-20-2—

Recent Matches

Gonzalo BuenoMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-23Clay6-2 6-4

Botic Van De ZandschulpMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-21Clay6-3 6-4

Casper RuudEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-16Clay6-7(1) 6-4 6-2

Stan WawrinkaEFG Swiss Open - Gstaad2026-07-14Clay6-7(8) 6-4 6-4

Zizou BergsWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass7-6(6) 4-6 6-2 6-3

Sho ShimabukuroWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass7-6(6) 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3

Rei SakamotoWimbledon - London2026-06-25Grass7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 6-4

Luka PavlovicWimbledon - London2026-06-24Grass6-4 6-4

Hugo GrenierWimbledon - London2026-06-22Grass6-3 6-3

Zhizhen ZhangNottingham 2 Challenger2026-06-16Grass6-4 7-5

Moez EcharguiNottingham 2 Challenger2026-06-15Grass6-3 6-4

Frances TiafoeFrench Open - Paris2026-05-30Clay4-6 6-7(2) 7-6(4) 6-1 6-2

Jan-Lennard StruffFrench Open - Paris2026-05-28Clay7-5 7-6(1) 6-2

Denis ShapovalovFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay6-4 7-5 6-4

Lukas NeumayerFrench Open - Paris2026-05-21Clay6-3 7-6(9)

Colton SmithFrench Open - Paris2026-05-20Clay6-1 3-6 6-3

Grigor DimitrovFrench Open - Paris2026-05-19Clay3-6 7-5 7-6(6)

Emilio NavaOeiras 4 Challenger2026-05-15Clay6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(5)

Petr BrunclikOeiras 4 Challenger2026-05-14Clay1-6 7-6(3) 6-2

Eero VasaOeiras 4 Challenger2026-05-13Clay6-3 6-1

Tiago TorresOeiras 4 Challenger2026-05-12Clay6-3 6-4

Pablo Llamas RuizInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-05Clay3-6 6-2 6-3

Adolfo Daniel VallejoInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-04Clay6-3 4-6 6-4

Roman SafiullinMauthausen Challenger2026-05-03Clay4-6 6-4 7-6(4)

Darwin BlanchMauthausen Challenger2026-05-02Clay6-3 6-2

Miguel DamasMauthausen Challenger2026-05-01Clay6-1 6-0

Martin KrumichMauthausen Challenger2026-04-30Clay2-6 6-3 6-4

Andrea GuerrieriMauthausen Challenger2026-04-28Clay6-3 6-7(2) 6-4

Hubert HurkaczMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-22Clay6-3 6-3

Lloyd HarrisMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-21Clay4-6 6-3 ret.

Quentin HalysMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-20Clay6-7(9) 6-3 6-4

Roman SafiullinOeiras 3 Challenger2026-04-17Clay4-6 6-3 7-6(1)

Guy Den OudenOeiras 3 Challenger2026-04-14Clay6-7(1) 6-2 6-4

Roman Andres BurruchagaSao Paulo Challenger2026-03-29Clay6-7(5) 6-4 6-4

Hugo DellienSao Paulo Challenger2026-03-28Clay6-4 6-1

Emilio NavaSao Paulo Challenger2026-03-27Clay7-6(3) 6-1

Felipe Meligeni AlvesSao Paulo Challenger2026-03-26Clay6-2 3-6 6-2

Joao Vitor Goncalves CeolinSao Paulo Challenger2026-03-24Clay6-2 6-2

Lautaro MidonAsuncion Challenger2026-03-20Clay7-6(9) 3-6 6-3

Thiago CigarranAsuncion Challenger2026-03-19Clay6-1 6-2

Genaro Alberto OlivieriAsuncion Challenger2026-03-18Clay6-3 2-6 6-3

Igor Ribeiro MarcondesSantiago Challenger2026-03-10Clay6-7(3) 6-4 7-5

Eduardo RibeiroBrasilia Challenger2026-03-04Clay7-6(7) 6-4

Gianluca CadenassoBrasilia Challenger2026-03-02Clay7-6(11) 3-6 7-6(9)

Tomas Martin EtcheverryRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-20Clay7-6(4) 6-4

Damir DzumhurRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-19Clay7-6(1) 6-4

Sebastian BaezRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-17Clay7-5 6-1

Igor Ribeiro MarcondesRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-15Clay6-1 7-6(5)

Nicolas JarryRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-14Clay7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3

Alexis GalarneauOeiras 2 Challenger2026-01-30I.Hard7-5 7-6(4)

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