What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Holger Rune

MENInactive

Age23

BirthplaceGentofte, Denmark

Height1.88m

Weight77kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:279 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.036

#33RD 64

Elo2.047

#39

Hard

Glicko-22.054

#32

Elo1.938

#23

Clay

Glicko-22.059

#47

Elo1.921

#20

Grass

Glicko-21.672

#60

Elo1.625

#42

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202524-1310-62-2

202431-1611-63-2

202321-1816-67-2

202225-1114-100-3

20213-54-8—

20202-0——

Recent Matches

Ugo HumbertBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-18I.Hard4-6 2-2 ret.

Tomas Martin EtcheverryBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-17I.Hard6-7(4) 6-3 6-4

Marton FucsovicsBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-16I.Hard6-4 6-4

Valentin VacherotShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-09Hard2-6 7-6(4) 6-4

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-07Hard6-4 6-7(7) 6-3

Ugo HumbertShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-05Hard6-4 6-4

Sebastian BaezShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-03Hard7-5 6-4

Jenson BrooksbyJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo2025-09-28Hard6-3 6-3

Ethan QuinnJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo2025-09-27Hard6-4 6-2

Hamad MedjedovicJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo2025-09-25Hard7-6(7) 6-1

Francisco CerundoloLaver Cup - San Francisco2025-09-20I.Hard6-3 7-6(5)

Pedro Martinez PorteroDavis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-22025-09-14Clay6-1 4-6 7-6(3)

Pablo Carreno-BustaDavis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-22025-09-13Clay7-5 6-3

Jan-Lennard StruffU.S. Open - New York2025-08-27Hard7-6(5) 2-6 6-3 4-6 7-5

Botic Van De ZandschulpU.S. Open - New York2025-08-25Hard6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(2)

Terence AtmaneCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-14Hard6-2 6-3

Frances TiafoeCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-13Hard6-4 3-1 ret.

Alex MichelsenCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-11Hard7-6(4) 6-3

Roman SafiullinCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-09Hard7-5 7-6(5)

Alexei PopyrinNational Bank Open - Toronto2025-08-02Hard4-6 6-2 6-3

Alexandre MullerNational Bank Open - Toronto2025-07-31Hard6-2 6-4

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardNational Bank Open - Toronto2025-07-29Hard7-6(7) 6-3

Nicolas JarryWimbledon - London2025-06-30Grass4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4

Roberto Bautista Agutcinch Championships - London2025-06-20Grass7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-2

Mackenzie Mcdonaldcinch Championships - London2025-06-18Grass2-6 6-1 6-1

Christopher O'Connellcinch Championships - London2025-06-16Grass6-3 6-4

Lorenzo MusettiFrench Open - Paris2025-06-01Clay7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2

Quentin HalysFrench Open - Paris2025-05-30Clay4-6 6-2 5-7 7-5 6-2

Emilio NavaFrench Open - Paris2025-05-28Clay6-3 7-6(5) 6-3

Roberto Bautista AgutFrench Open - Paris2025-05-26Clay6-7(4) 6-4 6-3 6-2

Corentin MoutetInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2025-05-11Clay7-5 5-7 7-6(4)

Francisco ComesanaInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2025-05-09Clay3-6 6-3 6-4

Flavio CobolliMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2025-04-25Clay6-2 ret.

Carlos AlcarazBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-20Clay7-6(6) 6-2

Karen KhachanovBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-19Clay6-3 6-2

Casper RuudBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-18Clay6-4 6-2

Sebastian BaezBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-16Clay4-6 6-1 6-2

Albert Ramos-VinolasBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-14Clay7-5 6-4

Nuno BorgesMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-08Clay6-2 3-0 ret.

Reilly OpelkaMiami Open - Miami2025-03-22Hard4-6 6-3 7-6(5)

Jack DraperBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-16Hard6-2 6-2

Daniil MedvedevBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-15Hard7-5 6-4

Tallon GriekspoorBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-13Hard5-7 6-0 6-3

Stefanos TsitsipasBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-11Hard6-4 6-4

Ugo HumbertBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-09Hard5-7 6-4 7-5

Corentin MoutetBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-07Hard6-2 6-4

Brandon NakashimaAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2025-02-26Hard3-0 ret.

Roberto Carballes BaenaAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2025-02-25Hard7-6(4) 6-3

Mariano NavoneArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2025-02-13Clay6-1 7-6(2)

Pedro Martinez PorteroABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2025-02-06I.Hard6-4 6-1

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