What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Grigor Dimitrov

MENRising

Age35

BirthplaceHaskovo, Bulgaria

Height1.91m

Weight81kg

Best HandRight

BackhandOne-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:12/100

Inactive:9 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.940

#97RD 73

Elo1.999

#58

Hard

Glicko-21.958

#95

Elo1.889

#34

Clay

Glicko-21.766

#411

Elo1.723

#214

Grass

Glicko-21.780

#23

Elo1.719

#10

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20262-61-35-2

20259-65-43-1

202435-128-44-2

202324-1310-55-2

202216-1610-51-2

202120-123-51-1

Recent Matches

Nuno BorgesNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-15Clay6-4 6-2

Dalibor SvrcinaNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-14Clay7-6(5) 1-6 6-4

Arthur FeryWimbledon - London2026-07-06Grass7-5 3-6 4-6 6-4 7-6(7)

Matteo BerrettiniWimbledon - London2026-07-04Grass6-3 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3

Jakub MensikWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass7-6(5) 4-6 7-5 6-3

Dane SweenyWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass7-6(4) 6-3 7-5

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-25Grass6-3 6-3

Abedallah ShelbayhMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-24Grass6-2 6-4

Marc PolmansMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-23Grass6-1 7-6(3)

Kyrian JacquetDublin Challenger2026-06-18Grass6-3 7-6(9)

Conor GannonDublin Challenger2026-06-17Grass6-2 6-3

Chris RodeschDublin Challenger2026-06-16Grass6-3 6-4

Jaime FariaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-19Clay3-6 7-5 7-6(6)

Martin DammBordeaux Challenger2026-05-13Clay7-6(3) 7-6(7)

Pol Martin TiffonAix En Provence Challenger2026-04-29Clay6-3 6-4

Adolfo Daniel VallejoMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-23Clay6-4 6-4

Tomas Martin EtcheverryMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay6-4 2-6 6-3

Raphael CollignonMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(6)

Carlos AlcarazBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard6-2 6-3

Terence AtmaneBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-05Hard6-4 5-7 6-4

Terence AtmaneAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2026-02-24Hard6-3 6-3

Alex MichelsenDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-10I.Hard5-7 6-4 6-4

Tomas MachacAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-20Hard6-4 6-4 6-3

Raphael CollignonBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-08Hard7-6(1) 6-3

Pablo Carreno-BustaBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-06Hard6-3 6-2

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard7-6(5) 6-1

Jannik SinnerWimbledon - London2025-07-07Grass3-6 5-7 2-2 ret.

Sebastian OfnerWimbledon - London2025-07-05Grass6-3 6-4 7-6(0)

Corentin MoutetWimbledon - London2025-07-03Grass7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5

Yoshihito NishiokaWimbledon - London2025-07-01Grass6-2 6-3 6-4

Ethan QuinnFrench Open - Paris2025-05-27Clay2-6 3-6 6-2 ret.

Francesco PassaroInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2025-05-09Clay7-5 6-3

Gabriel DialloMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2025-04-30Clay5-7 7-6(7) 6-4

Jacob FearnleyMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2025-04-29Clay6-4 7-6(3)

Nicolas JarryMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2025-04-26Clay6-3 6-4

Alex De MinaurMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-11Clay6-0 6-0

Alejandro TabiloMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-10Clay6-3 3-6 6-2

Valentin VacherotMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-09Clay4-6 6-3 6-1

Nicolas JarryMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-08Clay6-3 6-4

Novak DjokovicMiami Open - Miami2025-03-28Hard6-2 6-3

Francisco CerundoloMiami Open - Miami2025-03-26Hard6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)

Brandon NakashimaMiami Open - Miami2025-03-25Hard6-4 7-5

Karen KhachanovMiami Open - Miami2025-03-23Hard6-7(3) 6-4 7-5

Federico CinaMiami Open - Miami2025-03-21Hard6-1 6-4

Carlos AlcarazBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-12Hard6-1 6-1

Gael MonfilsBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-10Hard7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(2)

Nuno BorgesBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2025-03-08Hard6-3 6-4

Christopher O'ConnellDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2025-02-25Hard6-0 ret.

Jiri LeheckaQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2025-02-17Hard6-4 6-4

Francesco PassaroAustralian Open - Melbourne2025-01-13Hard7-5 2-1 ret.

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