What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Felix Auger Aliassime

MENHot

Age25

BirthplaceMontreal, Canada

Height1.93m

Weight88kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:75%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:17 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.142

#6RD 65

Elo2.216

Hard

Glicko-22.189

Elo2.031

#10

Clay

Glicko-22.097

#28

Elo1.892

#30

Grass

Glicko-21.796

#21

Elo1.678

#23

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202615-68-57-3

202540-143-56-4

202416-1617-80-2

202322-151-30-1

202245-1611-74-4

202124-154-610-3

Recent Matches

Novak DjokovicWimbledon - London2026-07-07Grass7-6(10) 3-6 6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(4)

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaWimbledon - London2026-07-05Grass6-7(4) 7-6(6) 6-3 6-7(2) 6-1

Michael ZhengWimbledon - London2026-07-03Grass7-6(1) 6-2 6-1

Dino PrizmicWimbledon - London2026-07-01Grass7-6(2) 6-3 7-5

Alexander ShevchenkoWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-3 6-1 6-4

Frances TiafoeTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-19Grass3-6 6-3 7-6(12)

Learner TienTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-17Grass6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)

Nuno BorgesTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-15Grass6-3 3-6 6-3

Kamil MajchrzakLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-12Grass6-4 6-3

Marton FucsovicsLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-11Grass6-3 6-4

Flavio CobolliFrench Open - Paris2026-06-03Clay4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4

Alejandro TabiloFrench Open - Paris2026-06-01Clay6-3 7-5 6-1

Brandon NakashimaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-30Clay5-7 6-1 7-6(4) 7-6(1)

Roman Andres BurruchagaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-28Clay4-6 6-0 7-5 6-1

Daniel AltmaierFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay4-6 6-4 4-6 6-1 7-6(7)

Aleksandar KovacevicHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-20Clay4-6 7-5 6-4

Vit KoprivaHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-19Clay7-5 6-1

Mariano NavoneInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay7-6(4) 7-6(5)

Alexander BlockxMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-27Clay7-6(3) 6-3

Vilius GaubasMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-25Clay6-3 6-4

Jannik SinnerMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-10Clay6-3 6-4

Casper RuudMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-09Clay7-5 2-2 ret.

Marin CilicMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-08Clay7-6(4) 6-3

Terence AtmaneMiami Open - Miami2026-03-23Hard6-3 1-6 6-3

Marton FucsovicsMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard7-6(3) 7-5

Arthur FilsBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-10Hard6-3 7-6(9)

Gabriel DialloBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-08Hard6-7(5) 6-3 6-3

Gael MonfilsBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-06Hard6-7(5) 6-3 6-4

Daniil MedvedevDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-27Hard6-4 6-2

Jiri LeheckaDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-26Hard6-3 7-6(2)

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-25Hard6-4 6-4

Zhizhen ZhangDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-23Hard6-3 7-6(4)

Alex De MinaurABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-15I.Hard6-3 6-2

Alexander BublikABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-14I.Hard6-1 6-2

Tallon GriekspoorABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-13I.Hard7-6(2) 6-2

Hamad MedjedovicABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-12I.Hard6-4 6-4

Alexei PopyrinABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-11I.Hard7-5 6-3

Adrian MannarinoOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-08I.Hard6-3 7-6(4)

Titouan DroguetOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-07I.Hard6-4 6-7(5) 6-1

Arthur FilsOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-06I.Hard6-4 6-2

Stan WawrinkaOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-05I.Hard6-4 7-6(3)

Nuno BorgesAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard3-6 6-4 6-4 ret.

Zizou BergsUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-06Hard6-4 6-2

Zhizhen ZhangUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-04Hard6-4 6-4

Carlos AlcarazNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-15I.Hard6-2 6-4

Alexander ZverevNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-14I.Hard6-4 7-6(4)

Ben SheltonNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-12I.Hard4-6 7-6(7) 7-5

Jannik SinnerNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-10I.Hard7-5 6-1

Jannik SinnerRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-11-02I.Hard6-4 7-6(4)

Alexander BublikRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-11-01I.Hard7-6(3) 6-4

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