What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Denis Shapovalov

MEN30Cold

Age27

Birthplace—

Height1.85m

Weight75kg

Best HandLeft

BackhandOne-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:38%

Fatigue:30/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.943

#96RD 77

Elo1.904

#128

Hard

Glicko-22.087

#27

Elo1.896

#34

Clay

Glicko-21.765

#411

Elo1.654

#411

Grass

Glicko-21.428

#3072

Elo1.499

#2635

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20266-62-51-3

202523-132-51-3

202418-165-63-2

20236-73-34-3

202229-184-41-4

202115-147-68-3

Recent Matches

Rodrigo Pacheco MendezMifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos2026-07-30Hard6-3 6-2

Rinky HijikataMifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos2026-07-29Hard2-6 6-3 6-2

Pablo Carreno-BustaWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-3 7-6(7) ret.

Alex De MinaurHSBC Championships - London2026-06-17Grass6-4 6-1

Jack Pinnington JonesHSBC Championships - London2026-06-15Grass6-4 4-6 7-6(3)

Marin CilicLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-08Grass6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

Jaime FariaFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay6-4 7-5 6-4

Mariano NavoneInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-07Clay6-4 6-2

Nicolai Budkov KjaerMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-25Clay6-2 6-1

Alex MolcanBMW Open - Munich2026-04-17Clay6-4 6-4

Fabian MarozsanBMW Open - Munich2026-04-16Clay7-6(4) 6-2

Tallon GriekspoorBMW Open - Munich2026-04-14Clay6-4 3-6 6-2

Alexander BlockxMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-06Clay6-4 4-6 6-3

Botic Van De ZandschulpMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard7-5 6-3

Jannik SinnerBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-08Hard6-3 6-2

Tomas Martin EtcheverryBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-06Hard6-3 2-6 7-6(5)

Stefanos TsitsipasBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-04Hard6-2 3-6 6-4

Pablo Carreno-BustaDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-24Hard6-2 6-4

Ben SheltonDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-14I.Hard4-6 6-4 7-6(4)

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-13I.Hard5-7 6-4 6-3

Aleksandar KovacevicDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-12I.Hard6-4 6-4

Rafael JodarDallas Open - Dallas2026-02-10I.Hard6-1 6-2

Marin CilicAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-22Hard6-4 6-3 6-2

Bu YunchaoketeAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-3 7-6(3) 6-1

Raphael CollignonBrisbane International - Brisbane2026-01-06Hard6-4 6-2

Joao FonsecaRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-28I.Hard5-7 6-4 6-3

Joao FonsecaSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-24I.Hard3-6 6-3 4-1 ret.

Valentin RoyerSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-23I.Hard7-6(3) 6-2

Marcos GironSwiss Indoors Basel - Basel2025-10-21I.Hard6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4)

Casper RuudBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-18I.Hard6-3 6-4

Elias YmerBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-17I.Hard6-4 6-7(3) 6-1

Leo BorgBNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm2025-10-15I.Hard6-2 5-7 6-1

Jiri LeheckaShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-06Hard6-4 6-4

Christopher O'ConnellShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-04Hard6-3 6-2

Daniel AltmaierJapan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo2025-09-24Hard7-5 6-3

Jannik SinnerU.S. Open - New York2025-08-30Hard5-7 6-4 6-3 6-3

Valentin RoyerU.S. Open - New York2025-08-28Hard7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3

Marton FucsovicsU.S. Open - New York2025-08-26Hard6-4 6-4 6-0

Luca NardiCincinnati Open - Cincinnati2025-08-10Hard6-7(5) 6-3 6-4

Learner TienNational Bank Open - Toronto2025-07-29Hard7-6(4) 7-5

Aleksandar KovacevicMifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos2025-07-19Hard6-4 6-2

Adam WaltonMifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos2025-07-18Hard6-2 6-2

Tristan SchoolkateMifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos2025-07-17Hard6-3 6-2

Govind NandaMifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos2025-07-16Hard6-1 6-2

Mariano NavoneWimbledon - London2025-07-01Grass3-6 6-4 6-1 6-4

Flavio CobolliTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2025-06-19Grass7-6(2) 4-6 7-6(5)

Ugo HumbertTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2025-06-17Grass6-4 4-6 7-6(4)

Arthur RinderknechBoss Open - Stuttgart2025-06-10Grass6-4 2-6 6-0

Filip MisolicFrench Open - Paris2025-05-29Clay7-6(5) 7-6(6) 4-6 4-6 6-3

Pedro Martinez PorteroFrench Open - Paris2025-05-26Clay6-2 6-0 6-3

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