What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Arthur Fils

MEN

Age22

BirthplaceBondoufle, France

Height1.85m

Weight83kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:22 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.197

#5RD 77

Elo2.226

Hard

Glicko-22.175

Elo2.045

Clay

Glicko-22.355

Elo2.005

Grass

Glicko-21.559

#161

Elo1.621

#44

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202613-59-21-1

202512-710-4—

202422-1510-106-3

202315-128-40-2

20220-1——

Recent Matches

Matteo BerrettiniWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass6-4 7-5 3-6 6-3

Raphael CollignonWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass7-5 6-1 6-3

Andrea PellegrinoInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay4-0 ret.

Jannik SinnerMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-05-01Clay6-2 6-4

Jiri LeheckaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-29Clay6-3 6-4

Tomas Martin EtcheverryMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-28Clay6-3 6-4

Emilio NavaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-26Clay7-6(2) 6-3

Ignacio BuseMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay6-7(4) 7-6(3) 7-5

Andrey RublevBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-19Clay6-2 7-6(2)

Rafael JodarBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-18Clay3-6 6-3 6-2

Lorenzo MusettiBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-17Clay6-3 6-4

Brandon NakashimaBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-16Clay6-2 6-3

Terence AtmaneBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-14Clay4-6 6-4 7-6(7)

Jiri LeheckaMiami Open - Miami2026-03-27Hard6-2 6-2

Tommy PaulMiami Open - Miami2026-03-25Hard6-7(3) 7-6(4) 7-6(6)

Valentin VacherotMiami Open - Miami2026-03-24Hard6-4 6-7(4) 6-4

Stefanos TsitsipasMiami Open - Miami2026-03-22Hard6-0 6-1

Darwin BlanchMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-2 6-3

Alexander ZverevBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-12Hard6-2 6-3

Felix Auger AliassimeBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-10Hard6-3 7-6(9)

Marton FucsovicsBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-08Hard6-3 7-5

Dino PrizmicBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-06Hard6-2 3-2 ret.

Carlos AlcarazQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-21Hard6-2 6-1

Jakub MensikQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-20Hard6-4 7-6(4)

Jiri LeheckaQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-19Hard6-3 6-3

Quentin HalysQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-18Hard6-1 7-6(7)

Kamil MajchrzakQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-16Hard6-7(5) 6-3 6-4

Alex De MinaurABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-10I.Hard7-6(3) 6-2

Felix Auger AliassimeOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-06I.Hard6-4 6-2

Ugo BlanchetOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-05I.Hard7-6(4) 7-5

Valentin RoyerOpen Occitanie - Montpellier2026-02-03I.Hard7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-2

Jiri LeheckaNational Bank Open - Toronto2025-08-01Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Pablo Carreno-BustaNational Bank Open - Toronto2025-07-30Hard6-3 6-4

Jaume Antoni Munar ClarFrench Open - Paris2025-05-29Clay7-6(3) 7-6(4) 2-6 0-6 6-4

Nicolas JarryFrench Open - Paris2025-05-26Clay6-3 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3

Alexander ZverevInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2025-05-13Clay7-6(3) 6-1

Stefanos TsitsipasInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2025-05-11Clay2-6 6-4 6-2

Tallon GriekspoorInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2025-05-09Clay6-2 6-2

Francisco ComesanaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2025-04-25Clay7-6(4) 6-4

Carlos AlcarazBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-19Clay6-2 6-4

Stefanos TsitsipasBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-18Clay2-0 ret.

Pedro Martinez PorteroBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-16Clay6-3 6-2

Pablo Carreno-BustaBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2025-04-15Clay7-6(6) 6-3

Carlos AlcarazMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-11Clay4-6 7-5 6-3

Andrey RublevMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-10Clay6-2 6-3

Flavio CobolliMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-09Clay6-2 6-4

Tallon GriekspoorMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2025-04-08Clay6-7(3) 6-4 6-2

Jakub MensikMiami Open - Miami2025-03-27Hard7-6(5) 6-1

Alexander ZverevMiami Open - Miami2025-03-26Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Frances TiafoeMiami Open - Miami2025-03-24Hard7-6(11) 5-7 6-2

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