What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Andrey Rublev

MEN51Hot

Age28

BirthplaceMoscow, Russia

Height1.88m

Weight75kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:51/100

Inactive:1 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.100

#18RD 68

Elo2.121

#21

Hard

Glicko-22.043

#35

Elo1.885

#35

Clay

Glicko-22.265

Elo1.999

Grass

Glicko-21.539

#183

Elo1.650

#30

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202610-616-60-2

202522-178-64-2

202432-1811-60-2

202329-1919-58-2

202237-1314-60-1

202137-169-57-2

Recent Matches

Timofey SkatovMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-23Clay6-1 6-1

Luciano DarderiNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-19Clay6-4 6-3

Alejandro TabiloNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-18Clay6-4 4-6 6-4

Sebastian BaezNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-17Clay6-1 6-2

Andrea PellegrinoNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-16Clay7-6(3) 6-7(7) 6-3

Roman SafiullinWimbledon - London2026-06-29Grass6-4 6-7(6) 3-6 6-3 7-6(12)

Hubert HurkaczTerra Wortmann Open - Halle2026-06-16Grass6-3 6-2

Jakub MensikFrench Open - Paris2026-05-31Clay6-3 7-6(6) 4-6 2-6 6-3

Nuno BorgesFrench Open - Paris2026-05-29Clay7-5 7-6(2) 7-6(2)

Camilo Ugo CarabelliFrench Open - Paris2026-05-27Clay6-1 1-6 6-3 7-6(5)

Ignacio BuseFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5

Jannik SinnerInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-14Clay6-2 6-4

Nikoloz BasilashviliInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-12Clay3-6 7-6(5) 6-2

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-11Clay6-4 6-4

Miomir KecmanovicInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-09Clay6-4 6-4

Vit KoprivaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay6-3 6-4

Arthur FilsBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-19Clay6-2 7-6(2)

Hamad MedjedovicBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-18Clay3-6 6-2 6-2

Tomas MachacBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-17Clay6-4 6-3

Lorenzo SonegoBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-16Clay6-2 6-3

Mariano NavoneBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-14Clay6-4 7-5

Zizou BergsMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-08Clay6-4 6-1

Nuno BorgesMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-06Clay6-4 1-6 6-1

Alejandro TabiloMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard6-7(5) 6-2 6-4

Gabriel DialloBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard6-7(4) 7-6(1) 6-3

Tallon GriekspoorDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-27Hard7-5 7-6(6)

Arthur RinderknechDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-26Hard6-2 6-4

Ugo HumbertDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-25Hard6-4 6-7(5) 6-3

Valentin RoyerDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai2026-02-24Hard6-3 6-4

Carlos AlcarazQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-20Hard7-6(3) 6-4

Stefanos TsitsipasQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-19Hard6-3 7-6(2)

Fabian MarozsanQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-18Hard6-2 6-4

Jesper De JongQatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha2026-02-17Hard6-4 6-3

Francisco CerundoloAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard6-3 7-6(4) 6-3

Jaime FariaAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5

Matteo ArnaldiAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-4 6-2 6-3

Lorenzo MusettiHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-10Hard6-7(3) 7-5 6-4

Nuno BorgesHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-09Hard6-3 6-4

Yibing WuHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-07Hard3-6 6-2 6-1

Ben SheltonRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-30I.Hard7-6(6) 6-3

Learner TienRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-28I.Hard6-4 6-4

Jacob FearnleyRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-27I.Hard6-1 6-4

Cameron NorrieErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-21I.Hard6-2 6-7(5) 6-2

Yoshihito NishiokaShanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai2025-10-04Hard2-6 6-1 6-4

Flavio CobolliChina Open - Beijing2025-09-26Hard7-6(3) 6-3

Valentin RoyerHangzhou Open - Hangzhou2025-09-20Hard6-4 7-6(2)

Felix Auger AliassimeU.S. Open - New York2025-09-01Hard7-5 6-3 6-4

Chak Lam Coleman WongU.S. Open - New York2025-08-30Hard2-6 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3

Tristan BoyerU.S. Open - New York2025-08-28Hard6-3 6-3 5-7 7-6(4)

Dino PrizmicU.S. Open - New York2025-08-25Hard6-4 6-4 6-4

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