What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Alex De Minaur

MENRising

Age27

BirthplaceSydney, Australia

Height1.83m

Weight69kg

Best HandRight

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:63%

Fatigue:0/100

Inactive:18 Days

Overall

Glicko-22.126

#11RD 66

Elo2.141

#17

Hard

Glicko-22.185

Elo2.038

Clay

Glicko-22.128

#18

Elo1.862

#51

Grass

Glicko-21.861

#10

Elo1.771

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

202612-57-68-3

202542-1710-53-2

202431-1410-57-1

202336-184-56-3

202231-169-67-4

202113-174-58-3

Recent Matches

Flavio CobolliWimbledon - London2026-07-06Grass7-5 7-6(4) 6-3

Zachary SvajdaWimbledon - London2026-07-04Grass6-2 5-7 6-2 6-4

Adrian MannarinoWimbledon - London2026-07-02Grass6-3 6-2 6-2

Roman Andres BurruchagaWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass7-6(5) 6-1 6-0

Brandon NakashimaHSBC Championships - London2026-06-19Grass7-5 6-3

Denis ShapovalovHSBC Championships - London2026-06-17Grass6-4 6-1

Gabriel DialloHSBC Championships - London2026-06-16Grass7-6(8) 6-3

Kamil MajchrzakLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-14Grass6-3 2-6 7-6(5)

Adrian MannarinoLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-13Grass6-4 6-0

Benjamin BonziLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-12Grass6-2 6-4

Martin DammLibema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch2026-06-10Grass7-6(8) 7-5

Jakub MensikFrench Open - Paris2026-05-29Clay0-6 6-2 6-2 6-3

Toby SamuelFrench Open - Paris2026-05-25Clay6-4 6-4 6-2

Tommy PaulHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-22Clay2-6 6-3 6-3

Luciano DarderiHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-21Clay6-0 6-3

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-20Clay6-2 4-6 6-4

Francisco CerundoloHamburg Open - Hamburg2026-05-18Clay3-6 6-4 6-3

Matteo ArnaldiInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay4-6 7-6(5) 6-4

Rafael JodarMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay6-3 6-1

Hamad MedjedovicBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-15Clay6-3 6-4

Sebastian OfnerBarcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona2026-04-14Clay7-6(7) 6-4

Valentin VacherotMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-10Clay6-4 3-6 6-3

Alexander BlockxMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-09Clay7-5 7-6(4)

Cameron NorrieMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-07Clay7-6(5) 2-6 6-2

Stefanos TsitsipasMiami Open - Miami2026-03-20Hard6-3 7-6(3)

Cameron NorrieBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-09Hard6-4 6-4

Sebastian KordaBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard4-6 6-4 6-4

Patrick KypsonAbierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco2026-02-23Hard6-1 6-7(4) 7-6(4)

Felix Auger AliassimeABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-15I.Hard6-3 6-2

Ugo HumbertABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-14I.Hard6-4 6-3

Botic Van De ZandschulpABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-13I.Hard3-6 7-6(4) 7-5

Stan WawrinkaABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-12I.Hard6-4 6-2

Arthur FilsABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam2026-02-10I.Hard7-6(3) 6-2

Carlos AlcarazAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-27Hard7-5 6-2 6-1

Alexander BublikAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-25Hard6-4 6-1 6-1

Frances TiafoeAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-23Hard6-3 6-4 7-5

Hamad MedjedovicAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-21Hard6-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1

Mackenzie McdonaldAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-2 6-2 6-3

Hubert HurkaczUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-09Hard6-4 4-6 6-4

Jakub MensikUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-06Hard6-4 6-1

Casper RuudUnited Cup - Australia2026-01-03Hard6-3 6-3

Jannik SinnerNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-15I.Hard7-5 6-2

Taylor FritzNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-13I.Hard7-6(3) 6-3

Lorenzo MusettiNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-11I.Hard7-5 3-6 7-5

Carlos AlcarazNitto ATP Finals - Turin2025-11-09I.Hard7-6(5) 6-2

Alexander BublikRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-31I.Hard6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

Karen KhachanovRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-30I.Hard6-2 6-2

Gabriel DialloRolex Paris Masters - Paris2025-10-29I.Hard7-6(8) 4-6 6-3

Jannik SinnerErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-25I.Hard6-3 6-4

Matteo BerrettiniErste Bank Open - Vienna2025-10-24I.Hard6-1 7-6(4)

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