What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Alex De Minaur

ATP5d inactive

Glicko-22.129

#11 overall·RD 68

Elo2.122#21 overall

Recent Form

60% Win Rate

Hard

Glicko-22.185#7

Elo2.038#8

Clay

Glicko-22.128#21

Elo1.862#47

Grass

Glicko-21.856#9

Elo1.756#5

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik

French Open - Paris

2026-05-29Clay0-6 6-2 6-2 6-3

Toby Samuel

French Open - Paris

2026-05-25Clay6-4 6-4 6-2

Tommy Paul

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-22Clay2-6 6-3 6-3

Luciano Darderi

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-21Clay6-0 6-3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-20Clay6-2 4-6 6-4

Francisco Cerundolo

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

2026-05-18Clay3-6 6-4 6-3

Matteo Arnaldi

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

2026-05-08Clay4-6 7-6(5) 6-4

Rafael Jodar

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

2026-04-24Clay6-3 6-1

Hamad Medjedovic

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-15Clay6-3 6-4

Sebastian Ofner

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

2026-04-14Clay7-6(7) 6-4

Valentin Vacherot

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-10Clay6-4 3-6 6-3

Alexander Blockx

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-09Clay7-5 7-6(4)

Cameron Norrie

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

2026-04-07Clay7-6(5) 2-6 6-2

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Miami Open - Miami

2026-03-20Hard6-3 7-6(3)

Cameron Norrie

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-09Hard6-4 6-4

Sebastian Korda

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

2026-03-07Hard4-6 6-4 6-4

Patrick Kypson

Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco

2026-02-23Hard6-1 6-7(4) 7-6(4)

Felix Auger Aliassime

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-15I.Hard6-3 6-2

Ugo Humbert

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-14I.Hard6-4 6-3

Botic Van De Zandschulp

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-13I.Hard3-6 7-6(4) 7-5

Stan Wawrinka

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-12I.Hard6-4 6-2

Arthur Fils

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

2026-02-10I.Hard7-6(3) 6-2

Carlos Alcaraz

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-27Hard7-5 6-2 6-1

Alexander Bublik

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-25Hard6-4 6-1 6-1

Frances Tiafoe

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-23Hard6-3 6-4 7-5

Hamad Medjedovic

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-21Hard6-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Australian Open - Melbourne

2026-01-19Hard6-2 6-2 6-3

Hubert Hurkacz

United Cup - Australia

2026-01-09Hard6-4 4-6 6-4

Jakub Mensik

United Cup - Australia

2026-01-06Hard6-4 6-1

Casper Ruud

United Cup - Australia

2026-01-03Hard6-3 6-3

Jannik Sinner

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

2025-11-15I.Hard7-5 6-2

Taylor Fritz

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

2025-11-13I.Hard7-6(3) 6-3

Lorenzo Musetti

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

2025-11-11I.Hard7-5 3-6 7-5

Carlos Alcaraz

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

2025-11-09I.Hard7-6(5) 6-2

Alexander Bublik

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-31I.Hard6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

Karen Khachanov

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-30I.Hard6-2 6-2

Gabriel Diallo

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

2025-10-29I.Hard7-6(8) 4-6 6-3

Jannik Sinner

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-25I.Hard6-3 6-4

Matteo Berrettini

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-24I.Hard6-1 7-6(4)

Filip Misolic

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-22I.Hard6-4 6-4

Jurij Rodionov

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

2025-10-20I.Hard6-4 6-1

Daniil Medvedev

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-10Hard6-4 6-4

Nuno Borges

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-08Hard7-5 6-2

Kamil Majchrzak

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-06Hard6-1 7-5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

2025-10-04Hard6-4 6-2

Jannik Sinner

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-30Hard6-3 4-6 6-2

Jakub Mensik

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-29Hard4-1 ret.

Arthur Rinderknech

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-27Hard6-3 3-6 7-6(2)

Bu Yunchaokete

China Open - Beijing

2025-09-26Hard6-4 6-0

Jakub Mensik

Laver Cup - San Francisco

2025-09-21I.Hard6-3 6-4

Simulate a match with DeGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Pinnacle odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →