What is VOPO in tennis betting?

VOPO (Value Over Pinnacle Odds) is the difference between Tennis Glicko's internal win probability (average of Glicko-2 and Elo models) and the implied probability from Pinnacle's odds. A positive VOPO means the market is undervaluing a player.

What is Green EV in tennis betting?

Green EV is Tennis Glicko's high-conviction value signal. It triggers when VOPO exceeds 12% AND the internal win probability is above 50% — indicating the market is significantly mispricing a player.

How accurate is Tennis Glicko?

Tennis Glicko has 72.8% predictive accuracy over the last 30 days, with a Brier Score of 0.1775 — a standard probabilistic calibration metric used in forecasting.

Why use Glicko-2 instead of ATP rankings for tennis predictions?

ATP rankings are a lagging indicator — they ignore surface specialization, injury returns, scheduling fatigue, and form swings. Glicko-2 updates after every match, adjusts for opponent quality, and models rating uncertainty, making it significantly more accurate for predicting match outcomes.

Rankings

Alejandro Tabilo

MEN35Cold

Age29

BirthplaceToronto, Canada

Height1.88m

Weight75kg

Best HandLeft

BackhandTwo-Handed

Recent Form

Win Rate:25%

Fatigue:35/100

Inactive:2 Days

Overall

Glicko-21.981

#65RD 67

Elo1.965

#78

Hard

Glicko-21.987

#65

Elo1.831

#65

Clay

Glicko-22.065

#45

Elo1.849

#62

Grass

Glicko-21.355

#3207

Elo1.511

#207

Surface Record

HardClayGrass

20264-515-100-3

20259-103-6—

202414-1611-107-2

20233-30-2—

20224-612-71-3

20211-21-10-1

Recent Matches

Tiago TorresMillennium Estoril Open - Estoril2026-07-22Clay6-4 6-4

Andrey RublevNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-18Clay6-4 4-6 6-4

Lautaro MidonNordea Open - Bastad2026-07-16Clay6-4 6-7(5) 6-4

Kamil MajchrzakWimbledon - London2026-06-30Grass6-3 7-5 7-5

Fabian MarozsanMallorca Championships - Mallorca2026-06-23Grass6-2 6-3

Rinky HijikataHSBC Championships - London2026-06-16Grass6-2 6-4

Felix Auger AliassimeFrench Open - Paris2026-06-01Clay6-3 7-5 6-1

Moise KouameFrench Open - Paris2026-05-30Clay4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(9)

Kamil MajchrzakFrench Open - Paris2026-05-26Clay6-1 6-3 6-4

Miomir KecmanovicValencia Challenger2026-05-16Clay7-6(0) 6-3

Dusan LajovicValencia Challenger2026-05-15Clay4-6 7-5 6-4

Aleksandar KovacevicValencia Challenger2026-05-14Clay6-3 6-1

Francisco CerundoloInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-08Clay6-0 6-2

Pablo Carreno-BustaInternazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome2026-05-06Clay6-2 6-1

Zizou BergsAix En Provence Challenger2026-05-03Clay6-4 4-6 6-3

Ethan QuinnAix En Provence Challenger2026-05-02Clay6-3 3-6 7-6(2)

Ignacio BuseAix En Provence Challenger2026-05-01Clay6-4 6-0

Roberto Bautista AgutAix En Provence Challenger2026-04-30Clay4-6 6-2 6-4

Jiri LeheckaMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-24Clay3-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Valentin RoyerMutua Madrid Open - Madrid2026-04-22Clay6-2 6-4

Joao FonsecaBMW Open - Munich2026-04-14Clay7-6(1) 6-3

Jiri LeheckaMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-08Clay4-6 7-6(4) 6-3

Marton FucsovicsMonte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo2026-04-05Clay6-4 6-3

Alex MichelsenMiami Open - Miami2026-03-23Hard3-6 6-3 6-4

Andrey RublevMiami Open - Miami2026-03-21Hard6-7(5) 6-2 6-4

Francisco ComesanaMiami Open - Miami2026-03-19Hard6-4 6-2

Daniil MedvedevBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-07Hard6-4 6-2

Rafael JodarBNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells2026-03-05Hard6-1 6-2

Sebastian BaezBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-27Clay7-6(2) 6-1

Thiago Agustin TiranteBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-26Clay4-6 6-3 6-3

Tomas Barrios VeraBCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago2026-02-24Clay7-5 6-3

Tomas Martin EtcheverryRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-22Clay3-6 7-6(3) 6-4

Ignacio BuseRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-22Clay6-3 6-3

Thiago Agustin TiranteRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-20Clay7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-1

Francesco PassaroRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-18Clay4-6 7-6(0) 6-2

Emilio NavaRio Open - Rio de Janeiro2026-02-16Clay6-3 6-3

Tomas Martin EtcheverryArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-13Clay1-6 6-3 6-4

Joao FonsecaArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-11Clay6-3 3-6 7-5

Facundo Diaz AcostaArgentina Open - Buenos Aires2026-02-10Clay7-6(5) 6-3

Ognjen MilicDavis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-SRB 4-02026-02-06Clay6-7(3) 6-2 6-4

Adolfo Daniel VallejoConcepcion Challenger2026-02-01Clay6-2 1-6 6-1

Marco CecchinatoConcepcion Challenger2026-01-31Clay6-3 6-1

Lautaro MidonConcepcion Challenger2026-01-30Clay5-7 6-1 6-2

Matias SotoConcepcion Challenger2026-01-29Clay6-2 6-3

Gonzalo VillanuevaConcepcion Challenger2026-01-28Clay7-5 6-4

Quentin HalysAustralian Open - Melbourne2026-01-19Hard6-2 6-2 7-6(2)

Luciano DarderiASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-14Hard1-6 7-5 6-3

Camilo Ugo CarabelliASB Classic - Auckland2026-01-13Hard6-4 6-2

Michael MmohHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-06Hard7-5 6-4

Yi ZhouHong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong2026-01-05Hard4-6 6-4 6-3

Simulate a match with TabiloGet win probability, VOPO edge vs Sharp Market odds, and Glicko-2 breakdown.

Open Simulator →